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#1
06-04-2010, 06:16 AM
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6/4: Belmont Park ($33k C/O); Hollywood Park ($150k C/O)
Mundane-looking Thursday late action at Belmont turned explosive with Sciacca's Piazza Di Spagna, used only as a Super Add second off the winter break, rallying boldly into a slow pace under Rajiv Maragh to score in the 8th at 17-1. Remarkably, with $7+ winners in the 6th and 7th and Toner's 7-1 nightcapper, the late quad paid an outrageous $10.7k ($1). And there is of course a $33k carryover on a delightfully intriguing Belmont Stakes eve card... Hollywood late night carryover as well, and Brad Free and I will analyze it at 6:30p ET tonight on ATR as part of the big preview show..
BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 4th: 36th Hill Prince (G3), 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD( Most Likely: #5 Nordic Truce 3-5 2nd Best Value: #1 Krypton 5-1 WON ($6.00) Next Best: #6 Lethal Combination 9-2 3rd 5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super) Terrific wagering event with interesting 'first turf' contenders and a ML that offers value opp.. Most Likely: #9 Moonbow 5-1 7th Best Value: #5 Shirley She Can 8-1 WON ($16.80) Next Best: #1 Voila 6-1 4th Super Add: #2 Ermine Slippers 5-2 5th 6th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Another dynamite betting heat with maybe 7 of the 10 possible. 12-1 on Micelli 2nd timer a superb 'key' horse with any of the logicals.. Best Value: #9 Salty Doll 12-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Vaughndidit 7-2 WON ($8.20) Exotics Use: #4 Stellaluce 3-1 3rd Super Add: #1 Maid to Win 5-1 4th 7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Problematic and quirky set with number off erratic players.. Best Value: #9 Loyal Shadow 10-1 WON ($24.60) Next Best: #3 Blazing Honor 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #8 Mystical Code 5-1 3rd Super Add: #1 Giuseppina 8-1 5th 8th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super) Yet another well-balanced and difficult race. KMc gelding appears to have front end advantage on group, but doesn't have to win.. Most Likely: #3 Stormin Bolt 9-5 3rd Best Value: #1 LATE SCR Next Best: #4 Stormy's Majesty 5-1 WON ($7.20) Super Add: #7 Jimmy Vegas 8-1 4th 9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-T (DD, Super) Best Value: #3 Msjerseyroulette 12-1 6th Next Best: #2 Lady Valiant 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Valuable Lady 5-1 2nd Super Add: #5 Our Montana Dream 30-1 8th 10th: 122nd Brooklyn H. (G2), 3+, 12f (Super) Utterly curious and tough-to-decipher cast for this standard.. Most Likely: #5 American Dance 3-1 Best Value: #6 Stones River 8-1 4th Next Best: #4 Eldaafer 9-2 3rd Super Add: #8 Alcomo 8-1 WON ($21.60) <$200 P6 Play: 5: 5-9 6: 1-4-7-10 7: 3-8-9 8: 3 9: 2-3 10: 5-6 2x4x3x1x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-2-3-5-8-9 8: 3 9: 2-3 10: 1-4-5-6-7-8 6x1x2x6 = $72 HOLLYWOOD PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Fantando 1-1 WON ($2.80) Best Value: #3 Iotabgray 5-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Cookin Expresso 15-1 5th Super Add: #4 Fionnaur 4-1 8th 4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Lilly Fa Pootz 7-2 2nd Next Best: #6 Welken 5-2 4th Best Value: #7 Prytania 8-1 5th Super Add: #1 Oui Say Oui 4-1 6th 5th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Warren's Swamp Fox 3-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Cenizo 5-2 4th Best Value: #7 Frequent Fame 5-1 3rd Super Add: #5 Ann's Seven 8-1 WON ($32.60) 6th: Cal-MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 SCR Best Value: #6 Stick to the Plan 8-1 WON ($9.80) Next Best: #11 Johnnie Gold 4-1 5th Super Add: #1 Brianville 8-1 6th 7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f-T (DD, Super) Obvious dilemma here is with 7-5 Sister Dawn, who if OK with turf, shouldn't lose.. Most Likely: #3 Sister Dawn 7-5 2nd Best Value: #5 Full Mandate 4-1 5th Next Best: #1 Sweet Hanni 3-1 WON ($10.40) 8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #9 Titus Aurelius 5-2 2nd Best Value: #4 K K's Bro 15-1 6th Next Best: #5 Surefire 2-1 WON Exotics Use: #7 Souvenir Summer 4-1 8th Super Add: #6 Major Madagan 20-1 7th <$200 P6 Play: 3: 3-8 4: 2-6 5: 3 6: 2/SCR-6 7: 3-5 8: 1-4-5-6-7-9 2x2x1x2x2x6 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$50 P4 Play: 5: 1-3-5-7 6: 2/SCR 7: 3-5 8: 1-4-5-6-7-9 4x1x2x6 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 06-05-2010 at 05:42 AM. 
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#2
06-04-2010, 11:01 AM
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BEL SCR/CHG'S
5TH 1A Remark Early 2B Fantasma Early 7 Yesterday Early 10 Pelican Lake Early 11 Cat Be Nimble Early 6Th 1A Amply Rewarded Early 6 Raffie's Rose Early 8 Chernobyl Princess Early 8TH 9 Dixie Nite Out Early 9TH 6 Tiz Hidden Early 9 A Saint Among Us Early 11 Green Arrows Early 12 Aquit Early 13 Northern Warrior Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#3
06-04-2010, 03:19 PM
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SCIACCA!! Go Steve
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#4
06-04-2010, 03:23 PM
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Bwawahahaha....
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
06-04-2010, 03:31 PM
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Quote:
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#8
06-04-2010, 03:53 PM
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Quote:
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#10
06-04-2010, 04:34 PM
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$96k by my math.
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#11
06-04-2010, 04:45 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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