100k to win...

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by Merlinsky

What kind of impact did that have on Super Saver's odds given a lot of money is bet on him and on Calvin already? I wondered how much the 8-1 drop to 7-1 was that, and how much was just a bunch of last minute runs to the windows. Surely it's a boatload of money as is. Can the needle really move that much with 100K at this point?

$0.60 according to Steve Crist: http://cristblog.drf.com/crist/2010/05/sixty-cents.html

The $100,000 increased Super Saver's share of the win pool from 8.97 % to 9.27 %, dropping his odds from 8.36-1 to 8.06-1 (after breakage, from 8.30-1 to 8.00-1.) So it appears that Super Saver would have paid $18.60 rather than $18.00 to win had the bet not been part of the pool. Conversely, had Ice Box finished first rather than 2nd, he would have paid $25.40, but without the bet he would have paid $25.20.