A question for all of you planning to bet Sidney's Candy

[richard burch]

he has to be as good as big brown was to win from post 20. is he?

if you look at his pps, he needs to be in 1st going into that first turn or he's done. so i hope everyone bets on him so i can reap the rewards.

add to it that he has never raced on dirt.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by richard burch

he has to be as good as big brown was to win from post 20.

No he doesn't.

Originally Posted by richard burch

if you look at his pps, he needs to be in 1st going into that first turn or he's done.

You can't really think it's that black and white.

Originally Posted by richard burch

add to it that he has never raced on dirt.

That's been more of a positive angle than a negative one in this year's Derby preps.

[slotdirt]

I'm coming around to Sidney's Candy. Every year after 2007, I tell myself that I'm not going to get suckered into betting horses who prep on poly, but after the way Line of David ran in Arkansas, and even Lookin at Lucky in the Rebel, I dont' see any reason why Sidney's Candy can't win this thing. He's way more likely than 75 percent of the field.

[tector]

A sealed race track--IF that is what he gets--may suit him.

[slotdirt]

BTW, ateam - I think it might be time to resurrect this blog.

[NTamm1215]

I'm loving how many people are getting onto Sidney's Candy. I'll be here to eat a big pile of crow if he loses.

NT

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

I'm loving how many people are getting onto Sidney's Candy. I'll be here to eat a big pile of crow if he loses.

NT

Why would you eat crow if he loses ?

[ranger5830]

If you like Sidney's Candy , I would recommend watching the 2nd race at Santa Anita on 12/30/09, Sidney missed the break, tried to rate behind the leaders, made a 3-wide menacing move on the turn and flattened out. If he can't rate successfully at 3-5 in a 6 furlong race it's hard to imagine him doing it successfully at 1 1/4 miles from the extreme outside post. He just hasn't shown a willingness to pass horses.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

BTW, ateam - I think it might be time to resurrect this blog.

I just thought about it the other day but it's too late. Maybe after the Derby.