136th Kentucky Derby (PP's)

[philcski]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

He's run ONE 'standout' race: the Pasadena on the TURF.

Noble's Promise has dusted him each time they've met.

Good luck to all those looking to bet him.

I take it you like NP in the Derby?

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by philcski

I take it you like NP in the Derby?

I'm boxing him with SC.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

I'm boxing him with SC.

I'm concerned about the distance for NP, but there's no question he's a hard trier who has already outrun his pedigree, and if you can look past the pedigree he's 4x the price of L@L for virtually the same past performances.

Personally I won't be using him much because I don't think he can get a mile and a quarter but I can't argue with anyone who says he can and 12-1 is a fair price to find out at.

[slotdirt]

Sen. McConnell picked Super Saver today. Look out.

[tbonds]

Paddy O'Prado could love the slop as well.
giving a muddy and not real sloppy track. Could be
used in deep exotics.

[nomad]

1 Lookin at Lucky (Gomez) 3-1 good horse always has trouble
2 Ice Box (Lezcano) 10-1 plods up for show
3 Noble's Promise (W. Martinez) 12-1hard knocker, user
4 Super Saver (Borel) 15-1could finish last
5 Line of David (Bejarano) 30-1same as above
6 Stately Victor (A. Garcia) 30-1peaked
7 American Lion (Flores) 30-1inconsistant
8 Dean's Kitten (Albarado) 50-1nope
9 Make Music for Me (Rosario) 50-1more nope
10 Paddy O'Prado (Desormeaux) 20-1 not terrible
11 Devil May Care (J. Velazquez) 10-1 not on Sat
12 Conveyance (M. Garcia) 12-1will fade
13 Jackson Bend (M. Smith) 15-1could be in the $
14 Mission Impazible (Maragh) 20-1wouldn't be a shock
15 Discreetly Mine (Castellano) 30-1would be a shock
16 Awesome Act (Leparoux) 10-1can't back on form
17 Dublin (Thompson) 12-1the sleeper always close
18 Backtalk (Mena) 50-1no
19 Homeboychris no
20 Sidney's Candy winner catch him if you can

[Antitrust32]

Here's what I'm thinking right now (I have the right to change my opinions before the race)

$2 W Line of David for sentimental reasons

Oaks / Derby Double for #2

Blind Luck, Tidal Pool / Sid Candy, Discreetly Mine, Ice Box (may add another horse or two like Jackson Bend / Super Saver / Dublin)

$1 Exacta wheel

Sid Candy / Noble's Promise, Super Saver, Ice Box, Devil May Care, Conveyance, Jackson Bend, Discreetly Mine, Dublin

I'm keying Sid Candy on top and bottom of those horses.

[CSC]

It's hard to fathom that the Jockies for the 2 horses I like in this Derby may be winning riders come Saturday night.

[Antitrust32]

Originally Posted by Antitrust32

Here's what I'm thinking right now (I have the right to change my opinions before the race)

$2 W Line of David for sentimental reasons

Oaks / Derby Double for #2

Blind Luck, Tidal Pool / Sid Candy, Discreetly Mine, Ice Box (may add another horse or two like Jackson Bend / Super Saver / Dublin)

$1 Exacta wheel

Sid Candy / Noble's Promise, Super Saver, Ice Box, Devil May Care, Conveyance, Jackson Bend, Discreetly Mine, Dublin

I'm keying Sid Candy on top and bottom of those horses.

I'm thinking of exchanging Jackson Bend for Paddy O Prado. Any thoughts?