136th Kentucky Derby (PP's)

ARyan · #1 04-28-2010, 11:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt

I think Lookin at Lucky will be fine where he is. I also think post position is overrated considering what Big Brown did a couple years ago, or how posts 18-20 ran like 2-4-5 in the 2005 Derby. If you like Sidney's Candy, good for you, you're going to get much better odds on him based on his position.

Lucky will find trouble again, and keep running, and will find the board, but I can't play him to win. Not at the price, not in a post that is going to assure he once again finds trouble.

randallscott35 · #2 04-28-2010, 11:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ARyan

Lucky will find trouble again, and keep running, and will find the board, but I can't play him to win. Not at the price, not in a post that is going to assure he once again finds trouble.

I agree wholeheartedly. I think he will run well but not win and he's an underlay in here considering he isn't even as fast as American Lion who is 30-1.

dalakhani · #3 04-28-2010, 11:48 AM

Conveyance drew nice. Lets just say he relaxes a little. I don't see any horse in here that is much better.

randallscott35 · #4 04-28-2010, 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dalakhani

Conveyance drew nice. Lets just say he relaxes a little. I don't see any horse in here that is much better.

Agree as well. Turning for home, in the slop, maybe he gets away.

randallscott35 · #5 04-28-2010, 11:51 AM

SC will be a lot higher than 5-1. Battaglia is smoking something with that line. My guess. 10-1 out there.

ateamstupid · #6 04-28-2010, 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35

SC will be a lot higher than 5-1. Battaglia is smoking something with that line. My guess. 10-1 out there.

I don't think he'll be that high, but yeah, it seems like Battaglia didn't have a contingency plan for the favorites drawing inside and out. I also doubt LaL will be lower than 4-1.

randallscott35 · #7 04-28-2010, 12:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

I don't think he'll be that high, but yeah, it seems like Battaglia didn't have a contingency plan for the favorites drawing inside and out. I also doubt LaL will be lower than 4-1.

At least he's not calling the race. I think Ice Box drew ok if Lezcano can not get pinned into the turn....LAL below 4-1 I think.

lemoncrush · #8 04-28-2010, 12:02 PM

With Sidney's past problems stumbling at the gate, the 20 spot actualy ensures he doesn't get sandwiched and left without any hope to recover.
He still has got a lot of work to do, but he has enough tactical speed where I think he can overcome the wide post.
Lookin at Lucky...I have my doubts.