Dubai Carnival 2010 Discussion

brockguy · #1 01-27-2010, 02:24 PM

One horse I am looking forward to seeing race is Beauchamp Xeres. While his form doesnt look too inspiring, his 3 all weather races at the end of last year may have been a few runs too many. Distance should suit and Smullen should give him a more forceful ride than Spencer or Hughes have previously.

Also on the back of his great year last year, bin Shafya will be very interesting to watch this year with his horses. All of them (with the possible exception of Cafe Racer) have a touch of class about them and Im intrigued by how Topclas will fare as he was a decent 3yo in France last year.

PatCummings · #2 01-27-2010, 03:56 PM

My personal projection, Brock, is that Bin Shafya backs up. Pop and stop. Over under on Carnival wins - 3.5

Just a thought. His local season has been awful, granted, running lesser company. Just a hunch, so to speak.

PatCummings · #3 01-27-2010, 03:57 PM

Some pictures from angles not seen before - posted on the site...

http://dubairacenight.com/meydan-is-...viewing-picks/

brockguy · #4 01-27-2010, 04:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PatCummings

My personal projection, Brock, is that Bin Shafya backs up. Pop and stop. Over under on Carnival wins - 3.5

Just a thought. His local season has been awful, granted, running lesser company. Just a hunch, so to speak.

Yep you could well be right, his pre carnival form is patchy at best, but seeing his ridiculous and quite franky dodgy wins in the Carnival last year, Ill be keeping him on my side..

brockguy · #5 01-28-2010, 08:49 AM

that Raihana defo looks a smart prospect. Ive only seen the race once, but she was in a tricky position turning for home and won very snugly at the end..

PatCummings · #6 01-28-2010, 09:31 AM

Well, so much for the thought DeKock wouldn't start fast - absolute smackers early on.

NoChanceToDance · #7 01-28-2010, 11:53 AM

She's a tool, Brock. De Kock hasn't stopped going on about her since she broke her maiden. Considering she was always wide and looking in trouble at half way, that was some performance. When you consider that many of the other winners have been front rank and on the inside, it makes it look even better.

Now, is it just me or (apart from Whispering Gallery) has Dettori given the rest of his mount shockers? Got them all in a good position early and allowed them to drift back in behind horses before 'getting after them'. We already know it's hard to come from well off the pace. To me, the rides he has given on all bar Whispering Gallery (who always looked likely to be given an easy lead of a soft gallop) have been pretty poor.

I should have napped him I guess, as he was a very progressive handicapper, was always to race from the front and stayed further than this. It was all there to see, but I wanted to nap something at a bigger price. Tartan Gigha is a horse to take note of though. He's a horse who likes to lead usually, but an average break from a bad gate meant he had to reined back. He stayed on as well as could be expected on the wide outside, and will improve for the run. Watch out for him in a similar race if given a better draw which will enable him to race on the front end.

NoChanceToDance · #8 01-28-2010, 12:30 PM

That was strange. Gloria De Campeo always up in the front rank, nothing really seems to be closing from behind and then Forgotten Voice comes from another country.

Midshipman will struggle to win in the top company based on that. The winner usually improves massive amounts on his first run of the Carnival and It's now hard to envisage Midshipman beating that rival when they meet under the same conditions again.