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#1
10-24-2009, 06:18 AM
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10/24: Belmont; Keeneland ($106k C/O) - $254k C/O into Sunday
Kooky Keeneland displayed its' quirky nature Friday, when after the first half of the P6, I was actually believing I had a serious shot to take down the sequence. Subsequently was skunked the rest of the way, without really coming close to a winner in the 7th-9th! First half P3 paid $105 though to help defray expenses and keep the day's losses fairly reasonable. Kiaran McLaughlin swept the pair of Valley View divisions with bonus mutuels on both Bluegrass Princess and Eye of Taurus. Hope you did OK as we all get yet another shot at the sextet today! Belmont arrives at closing weekend today with the New York Bred Showcase today, affectionately monikered the 'Muskrat Ramble' years ago, a reference that as a Kid Ory/Louis Armstrong fan, always make me laugh...
BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 6th: 16th Maid of the Mist-NYB, 2yo-F, 1m (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Minerologist 1-1 WON Best Value: #4 Valuable Lady 8-1 7th Next Best: #9 Embrace Change 10-1 2nd Super Add: #6 Sugar Trade 9-2 5th 7th: 16th Sleepy Hollow-NYB, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #10 Ibboyee 5-2 4th Best Value: #5 City Trooper 8-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Make Note 9-2 3rd Exotics Use: #6 Persian Ruler 20-1 9th 8th: 31st Iroquois-NYB, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #2 My Dinah 12-1 2nd Most Likely: #11 Silvercup Baby 10-1 11th Next Best: #6 Sweet Lorena 6-1 4th Super Add: #3 Doremifasollatido 5-1 10th 9th: 32nd Hudson-NYB, 3+, 6f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Driven by Success 8-5 WON Best Value: #4 Legal Consent 8-1 2nd Next Best: #11 Law Enforcement 3-1 10th Super Add: #2 Smokin Hero 12-1 6th 10th: 34th Empire Classic-NYB, 3+, 9f (Super) Best Value: #2 Slevin 6-1 6th Most Likely: #5 Haynesfield 4-1 WON Next Best: #6 Future Prospect 8-5 10th Super Add: #11 Naughty New Yorker 15-1 5th .10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 2-5 with 2-5-6 with 1-2-3-5-6-11 with 1-2-3-4-5-6-9-10-11-12 (2x2x4x7 = 112 x .10 = $11.20) <$75 P4 Play: 7: 5-10 8: 2-6-11 9: 1-2-4-11 10: 2-5-6 2x3x4x3 = $72 KEENELAND POST-SCRATCHES 5th: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Note that top tabs here (#'s 3, 7) can flatter PP running line mates (#'s 1, 5, 6) later in the 7th.. Best Value: #3 Lost Aptitude 6-1 3rd Most Likely: #7 Exhi 7-2 6th Next Best: #2 Our Douglas 4-1 2nd Super Add: #9 Marathon Moon 10-1 9th 6th: S/ALW, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Workin for Hops 8-5 2nd Next Best: #5 Perfect Drive 7-2 WON Best Value: #10 Horst 8-1 3rd Super Add: #2 Canook 8-1 4th 7th: MSW, 2yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Deep and difficult group with several in range of each other and surface switches to consider. Note that Friday's similar 9f heat saw Protesting, the Phipps-A.P. Indy, run off and win.. Most Likely: #2 Heart Butte 6-1 WON Next Best: #4 Psychic Income 5-1 4th Best Value: #9 Incredibly Gifted 15-1 7th Super Add: #6 Drosselmeyer 9-2 2nd 8th: ALW/C, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Another well-bunch set.. Tough.. Most Likely: #3 Pick Six 7-2 3rd Best Value: #10 Rahystrada 15-1 WON Next Best: #8 Antrim County 8-1 7th Super Add: #5 Wise River 12-1 6th 9th: 11th Raven Run (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (DD, Super) Thoroughly wide open.. No bad stabs here with most needing to answer synthetic surface question.. Most Likely: #8 Flashing 3-1 12th Best Value: #3 Satans Quick Chic 30-1 WON Next Best: #13 Strike the Bell 20-1 9th Super Add: #1 Best Lass 5-1 6th 10th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (Super, Super High 5) Terrific race.. Most Likely: #11 Grassy Nellie 9-2 3rd Next Best: #1 Changing Skies 7-2 2nd Best Value: #8 Magical Theater 8-1 6th Exotics Use: #5 Prytania 5-1 4th High 5 Play: #2 Striking Dancer 4-1 WON <$200 P6 Play: 5: 3-7 6: 5-8 7: 2-4 8: 3-5-8-10 9: 8 10: 1-8-11 2x2x2x4x1x3 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 2-4-9 8: 3-5-8-10 9: 3-8-13 10: 1-5-8-11 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 10-24-2009 at 07:51 PM. 
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#2
10-24-2009, 10:11 AM
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Race 4 and Race 5 off the Turf
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#4
10-24-2009, 10:49 AM
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Right....Thanks
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#5
10-24-2009, 11:17 AM
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KEE SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.keeneland.com/racing/List...lItemsalt.aspx Saturday, October 24, 2009 10:00 AM The Polytrack is fast The Turf Course is yielding 5th Race #4--Flatter Than Me--SCRATCH 6th Race #1--Lon's Honor (LA) Lasix Adjunct #6--Zavill--SCRATCH #9--Mamoose--SCRATCH 7th Race #7--Let's Do It--SCRATCH #8--Gold Medallion--SCRATCH #12--Magic Bullet--SCRATCH 8th Race #2--Fort Prado--SCRATCH #4--Timeless Fashion--SCRATCH #6--Suyeta--SCRATCH #11--Stratham--SCRATCH 9th Race -- Lexus Raven Run (G2) As of 11:35 a.m.: #15AE--Saucey Evening--SCRATCH #16AE--Devil by Design--SCRATCH 10th Race #11--Grassy Nellie---Jockey change to Corey Lanerie #12--Stealin' Kisses--SCRATCH #13AE--Gone Theatrical--Jockey change to Chris Emigh #14AE--Mega--SCRATCH
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
10-24-2009, 11:20 AM
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http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp Weather: (Morning) RAIN 64 (Post) Track: MUDDY Turf: OFF 6TH 8 Spirit of Rose Early 7TH 2 Power Blast Early 8TH 1 Raffie's Treasure Early 13 Mother Russia Early 10TH 9 Dr. V's Magic Early
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
10-24-2009, 01:44 PM
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Steve, I'd like to hear your opinion: Tall Poppi didn't interfere with anyone per se in Belmont's 4th, but he drifted out about 6 or 7 paths in deep stretch. Do you think there at least should've been an inquiry? I mean IMO it shouldn't be OK to drift all over the track even if you don't get in anyone specific's way.
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#8
10-24-2009, 04:21 PM
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wow a $786 P3 at keeneland with 4 horses to hit the P4, good luck steve.
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#9
10-24-2009, 05:58 PM
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Just checked and a $1 parlay of the winners in the 7-9 would have paid $1873...the pk3 pool was 35K and was a big underlay. I didnt have either as I played in race verticals.
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#10
10-24-2009, 06:23 PM
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#11
10-24-2009, 08:07 PM
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hard to believe she was 4th choice in the double considering she was 20-1 morning line and went off higher than that at posttime... a lot of bettors must have read steve's picks going into keeneland today!
__________________
Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
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#13
10-24-2009, 09:42 PM
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Steve...a big thanks! I played your pick 4 and threw in the 2 (your high 5 play) in the last leg - bingo 3 G's ...just got home fired up youbet and holy sh^t!
You still D'man! 
__________________
We've Gone Delirious
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#14
10-25-2009, 05:34 AM
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That's terrific! Congrats... Should set you up well for Cup wagering. I hope more people added Striking Dancer or got some of the $32 or $48 winners or the P3's or something! Keeneland has been pretty entertaining.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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