|
|
 |
|
|
|
#2
10-13-2009, 02:57 PM
|
||||
|
||||
Assuming he duplicates his last, Gayego looks like a near certainty in the Sprint.
Haven't seen the East coast contenders, but since they haven't tasted the Pro-Ride anyways, I think Lookin At Lucky will be tough to beat in the Juvenile at this point. It will be interesting to see if Parading ends up in the Dirt Mile. Not sure why he's been so eager in his last two, but if he can settle a little further off the pace, it might give his jock a better shot of timing his move to a more appropriate point in the race. He's been bet down in his last 2, I'm sure he'll be a very round number if McGaughey enters him. 
|
|
#3
10-13-2009, 03:00 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
How can Gayego be a near lock? What about Zensational?
|
|
#4
10-13-2009, 03:04 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
Seems like many people are viewing the Dirt Mile as a secondary race (eg Dick Mandella with Crown Of Thorns) to avoid the real heavy hitters. This only validates that ultimately the race probably takes away from both the Sprint and the Classic. Beyond the "preview" races at Oak Tree and Belmont, the Breeder's Cup is even ruining their own original championship races.
|
|
#5
10-13-2009, 03:26 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
|
|
#6
10-13-2009, 03:38 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
Hard to envision a wire to wire win if the field is as big and as loaded with early speed as it has been rumored.
|
|
#7
10-13-2009, 03:47 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
I think he rolls and is 100% the goods... And what the f on Sunday?
|
|
#8
10-13-2009, 04:17 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Horses like Zensational who have a lot of hype and not a great deal of substance are the very type that you can make a great deal of money beating.
In the Pat O'Brien he faced a woefully bad field of five where the next best horse was Noble Court, whose biggest accomplishment in 2009 was a win in the Ack Ack, a race that featured one of the most remarkable pace collapses in the history of racing. Zensational was the only speed and got away with a first quarter in :23. In the Bing Crosby he once again faced a pace-challenged field as Delta Storm was the only horse who could keep him even remotely honest. He ran hard to clear and stayed clear in a solid effort. The race that impressed me from him more than any other was the Friday night optional claimer where he stalked and took over through maniacal fractions. That, however, can't look as good when you consider the caliber of horses he was holding off late. He's going to face incredible early pressure from the word go even if the other speed is simply Fatal Bullet. I am very interested in betting against him if he's going to be asked to withstand early pressure and still stand up late. NT
|
|
#9
10-13-2009, 04:37 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
I like Church Service in the Marathon. I think the euros will be greatly overbet in here given one won this race last year (and Muhannak is right back to defend his title). Watch the finish of Church Service from last year.
Big Booster also has to be mentioned but I think Church Service is a bit better on this surface.
|
|
#10
10-13-2009, 04:40 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
No repeat bid for Church Service Church Service finished second in the 2008 Breeders' Cup Marathon here, but will not start in that race this year, Mitchell said. Church Service is winless in five starts this year, including an eighth-place finish in the Washington Park Handicap at Arlington Park last month. "He needed a break," Mitchell said. "I would have loved to have run him in the Marathon, but he came back from Chicago kind of beat up and worn out." http://www.drf.com/news/article/107837.html NT
|
|
#11
10-13-2009, 04:44 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#12
10-13-2009, 03:39 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
|
Hybrid Mode
