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Old 08-04-2009, 03:19 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Albany, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
The fractions - especially the opening quarter - for 6.5f races at Saratoga have come back crazy fast the last several years.

I'm sure run-up has something to do with it.

My pace figures use the half mile fraction as a pace call for sprints.

For a hypothetic that is tremendously simple to follow - lets say you have three dirt sprint races at Saratoga. One at 6fs - one at 6.5fs - and one at 7fs.

Now lets say that the pace for all three is 45.00 for a half mile.

At six furlongs - the 45.00 pacesetter would get a raw fig of 103

At 6.5 furlongs - the 45.00 pacesetter would get a raw fig of 94.75

At 7 furlongs - the 45.00 pacesetter would get a raw fig of 113.5


That means that paces at 6.5 furlongs are 8.25 points (or 0.30 seconds) faster than 6 furlong ones.

And paces at 6.5 furlongs are 18.75 points (or 0.70 seconds) faster than 7 furlong ones.
That actually makes perfect sense in regards to the run-up distances. At 6 furlongs the run-up is 40 feet, at 6.5 furlongs the run-up is 64 feet, at 7 furlongs the run-up is 32 feet. So at 6.5 furlongs the horses have had 24 more feet to accelerate to top speed before the timer starts compared to 6 furlong races and double the distance to accelerate over 7 furlong races.
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