6/11 - Hol R5

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I agree that the 7 looks like a HUGE standout - that's why I don't understand why he's 8-1 according to DRF's line and not a single handicapper on the grid picks him to hit the board (something I look at only to determine what kind of odds I might get). His final quarters in two of his last three are :22.28 and :22.63 - with that kind of closing kick and all the speed in here it looks like he should walk. The 10 looks intriguing to me too, but they have him listed as the favorite, which wouldn't surprise me.

Clearly, he figures to get a good setup, but with the exception of his last race, he appears to be the type of horse that can only win with a perfect trip. There seems to not only be enough speed in the race but also a number of pressers so, on paper, at least, the race figures to collapse. Funny how often that doesn't work out exactly on the CALI turf.