6/6 (BEL): Belmont; Manhattan; Acorn; Just a Game; Et Al..

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by gales0678

Dunbar - i read somewhere in the NY post where a columnist picked MTB for the belmont saying he thought he should be odds on and since he projects him to go off at 8/5 or 9/5 , MTB offers good value to win , do you agree?

No, I don't agree he should be odds on. I do think he is a solid favorite and that his fair odds are in the 8/5 to 9/5 range. I'd need 2-1 to consider a bet; I'd be happy to bet him at 5-2.

--Dunbar

[gales0678]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

No, I don't agree he should be odds on. I do think he is a solid favorite and that his fair odds are in the 8/5 to 9/5 range. I'd need 2-1 to consider a bet; I'd be happy to bet him at 5-2.

--Dunbar

thx

[gales0678]

1 more dunbar

what is a fair price tomorrow in the Just a Game for:

#6 Modern Look

[JerseyJ]

Considering Modern Look has no chance to wire the field with Raw Silk in the field, considering she couldn't hold off Dawn After Dawn after getting a perfect pressing trip on a medium pace going 1 Mile, and likely will not be able to hold off horses with the class and ability of Forever Together and My Princess Jess, I would rate her chances as having no shot, and she should be 30/1 or higher.

[gales0678]

Originally Posted by JerseyJ

Considering Modern Look has no chance to wire the field with Raw Silk in the field, considering she couldn't hold off Dawn After Dawn after getting a perfect pressing trip on a medium pace going 1 Mile, and likely will not be able to hold off horses with the class and ability of Forever Together and My Princess Jess, I would rate her chances as having no shot, and she should be 30/1 or higher.

according to the barn she is in better shape now and ready to go , can you give me a fair price on him for this race , in your opinion it sounds like he s/b 50/1?

[JerseyJ]

Originally Posted by gales0678

according to the barn she is in better shape now and ready to go , can you give me a fair price on him for this race , in your opinion it sounds like he s/b 50/1?

Don't believe everything you hear from barns...This horse could be in great shape but based on the field for the race, she has no chance. The horse could be doing best of all, but how's she going to hold of Forever Together and My Princess Jess in the stretch? How's she going to see the early lead when Raw Silk is faster than her early. She couldn't hold off Dawn After Dawn who came back to run 2nd in an extremely below average edition of the Distaff Turf Mile, as any horse in that field would be drowned by anyone in this field. I think anything less than 20/1 or 30/1 is a severe underlay for Modern Look.

[gales0678]

Originally Posted by JerseyJ

Don't believe everything you hear from barns...This horse could be in great shape but based on the field for the race, she has no chance. The horse could be doing best of all, but how's she going to hold of Forever Together and My Princess Jess in the stretch? How's she going to see the early lead when Raw Silk is faster than her early. She couldn't hold off Dawn After Dawn who came back to run 2nd in an extremely below average edition of the Distaff Turf Mile, as any horse in that field would be drowned by anyone in this field. I think anything less than 20/1 or 30/1 is a severe underlay for Modern Look.

if she goes off above 20/1 . i take a stab

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by gales0678

1 more dunbar

what is a fair price tomorrow in the Just a Game for:

#6 Modern Look

Haven't capped it yet, Gales.

--Dunbar