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  #1  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:07 AM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
Because horses that run huge efforts tend not to last. Look at IWR, he has a 8pt top, regressed 2 pts and is now pretty much has 3 hooves in the breeding shed....His type of injury is from RACING or over extension, which comes from huge huge efforts

I am not sure what the IWR connections could have done differently, maybe skip the Wood and take the 8 weeks or whatever it was, but that would have been majorly risky from a value and stud career perspective.

RA has won her race this year, why not give her 6-8 weeks to get over the effort and make a plan for her to get the BC.
This is such a bunch of b.s. and why we have paper tiger Champions.
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Old 05-07-2009, 09:09 AM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
This is such a bunch of b.s. and why we have paper tiger Champions.

did the same connections give us what we wanted with Curlin ? he ran as a 4yr old , why wouldn't they run her at 4?
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  #3  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:09 AM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
This is such a bunch of b.s. and why we have paper tiger Champions.

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  #4  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:17 AM
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GenuineRisk GenuineRisk is offline
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What??? They're running RA in the Preakness? Do they not understand that these races are showcases for the stallions of tomorrow? That colts should stay with colts and fillies with fillies and never the twain shall meet because it's just unnatural and offensive to the fillies' delicate sensibilities, letting them get bumped around by a bunch of big colty colt males?? You might as well just dress them in a miniskirt and high heels and stick them in a dark alley. (Though not with Mine That Bird; he can't take advantage of the situation and therefore should be scratched anyway.)

Harumph. Next thing you know they're going to let women vote and then you'll really see things go to hell in a handbasket. And you kids, get off my lawn.
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Old 05-07-2009, 09:48 AM
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So two weeks is too soon to bring her back but the horses from the Derby can come back with one less day after running harder and longer?
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  #6  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:51 AM
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Travis Stone Travis Stone is offline
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I really doubt Jackson would spend $10 million just to sit on her for the Acorn. Though I feel the galloped home stuff is overrated, she barely even lifted a foot in the Ky. Oaks. I say the Preakness is a go!

Fans are funny. For one, we want these superstars to race and make headlines and try stuff... now we have the chance, and it's "Mr. Jackson, please don't run her..." Yadda yadda yadda.
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  #7  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:56 AM
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Rootdog1 Rootdog1 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Travis Stone
I really doubt Jackson would spend $10 million just to sit on her for the Acorn. Though I feel the galloped home stuff is overrated, she barely even lifted a foot in the Ky. Oaks. I say the Preakness is a go!

Fans are funny. For one, we want these superstars to race and make headlines and try stuff... now we have the chance, and it's "Mr. Jackson, please don't run her..." Yadda yadda yadda.

Hey, Yadda Yadda - what is the benefit of running her on two weeks rest after that effort. I agree take on the boys, but why not wait for a tired bunch of colts in the Belmont?
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  #8  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:59 AM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rootdog1
Hey, Yadda Yadda - what is the benefit of running her on two weeks rest after that effort. I agree take on the boys, buy why not wait for a tired bunch of colts in the Belmont?
Forget the Preakness and the Belmont, why not have her ready for the Travers? I have no idea on this but how many times has a filly even tried the Travers, let alone won it, it can't be very many...

Now that would be historic (Given I am right about fillies not contesting the Travers)

http://www.nyra.com/Saratoga/Stakes/Travers.shtml

Link is a historic view of the Travers, are there any fillies on there?
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  #9  
Old 05-07-2009, 10:13 AM
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Travis Stone Travis Stone is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rootdog1
Hey, Yadda Yadda - what is the benefit of running her on two weeks rest after that effort. I agree take on the boys, but why not wait for a tired bunch of colts in the Belmont?
In last year's Belmont Stakes, three horses were exiting the Preakness, while three others were exciting the Derby. The Derby horses outperformed the Preakness horses. The tired horses / Belmont angle is overplayed in my opinion.

We know Rachel Alexandra can handle 9 furlongs no problem, and judging by the way she finished, 9.5f should be no issue either. Her 108 Beyer in the Oaks is more than 10 points better than the runner-ups in the Derby. She didn't have a grueling race, the colts are weak, the purse is $1 million, it's a grade one, it's an American classic... it's a go in my opinion. If she flops, you can re-group for the fillies in the Acorn.

Furthermore, there are still some ?'s about who could re-surface in the Belmont which could make it a more difficult race than the Preakness.
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  #10  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:10 AM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
This is such a bunch of b.s. and why we have paper tiger Champions.
No it isn't but I am not going to get into the statistics, maybe 1 out of 20 go against the data that shows huge jump up efforts hurt horses, especially YOUNG ones < 4 years of age
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  #11  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:12 AM
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slotdirt slotdirt is offline
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Was that a huge jump up effort or was the competition in that race that weak considering the scratches? I'm just saying, the horse was barely blowing after the race; I don't see why she couldn't run again against better competition off two weeks and a day rest.
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  #12  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:20 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
No it isn't but I am not going to get into the statistics, maybe 1 out of 20 go against the data that shows huge jump up efforts hurt horses, especially YOUNG ones < 4 years of age
I am not so sure her last was a huge effort for her. She ran a fig that was well within her comfort zone Scav.. It's not like she tossed a 123 at them. Remember she did beat dog biscuits and its not like she was used real hard the last 1/2 mile.. Ideally you wouldn't run her in 14 days but she isn't going to be running that much longer anyway..Remember they have to breed her to Curlin before his 2 year olds flop..lol
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  #13  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:24 AM
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MaTH716 MaTH716 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo
I am not so sure her last was a huge effort for her. She ran a fig that was well within her comfort zone Scav.. It's not like she tossed a 123 at them. Remember she did beat dog biscuits and its not like she was used real hard the last 1/2 mile.. Ideally you wouldn't run her in 14 days but she isn't going to be running that much longer anyway..Remember they have to breed her to Curlin before his 2 year olds flop..lol
I agree with Freddy, she looked like she was in cruise control in the stretch and was still pulling away. The race almost looked like a public work. In my opinion (which means nothing), I don't think that the Oaks to much out of her tank.
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  #14  
Old 05-07-2009, 04:42 PM
Split Rock Split Rock is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
No it isn't but I am not going to get into the statistics, maybe 1 out of 20 go against the data that shows huge jump up efforts hurt horses, especially YOUNG ones < 4 years of age
Huge efforts? Huge can take on many different definitions. I think it's bs, too...
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  #15  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:21 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
This is such a bunch of b.s. and why we have paper tiger Champions.
Agree. See my avatar, for example.

Injuries happen all the time. It may be tempting to attribute an injury to a training decision, but I don't think that conclusion would bear up under any rigorous scrutiny. IWR was looking great in training leading up to the Derby, according to Mike Welch. The Pamplemousse and Quality Road also missed the Derby due to injuries, as did Midshipman and Vineyard Haven. Did all of those horses race too much?

Was Rachel Alexandra's Oaks run all that much more exerting than a workout?

--Dunbar
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  #16  
Old 05-07-2009, 05:37 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
Agree. See my avatar, for example.

Injuries happen all the time. It may be tempting to attribute an injury to a training decision, but I don't think that conclusion would bear up under any rigorous scrutiny. IWR was looking great in training leading up to the Derby, according to Mike Welch. The Pamplemousse and Quality Road also missed the Derby due to injuries, as did Midshipman and Vineyard Haven. Did all of those horses race too much?

Was Rachel Alexandra's Oaks run all that much more exerting than a workout?

--Dunbar
In this case, I agree with you. RA's Oaks win wasn't much more than a workout. I don't think she will have any problem coming back in 15 dyas.

But in general, the harder and more often that horses run, the more likely it is that they will get hurt. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure that out. If you had a really good horse and that horse never raced but instead just breezed 6 furlongs in 1:14 every 7 days, there is a good chance that the horse would never get hurt and would stay sound for years. It obviously would not make sense to do that. A horse can't make you any money by not racing. So you obviously need to run your horse, but you want to do evrything you can to keep them sound. If you run them too often, you have no chance of keeping them sound. You don't want to be greedy and kill the golden-goose.
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  #17  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:23 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
This is such a bunch of b.s. and why we have paper tiger Champions.
!!!

You tell it, girl.
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  #18  
Old 05-07-2009, 09:33 AM
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geeker2 geeker2 is offline
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I hope they keep the jock selection suspenseful - just like the Dunkirk/POTN decision

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