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#10
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Quote:
1st and 2nd is a different world from 3rd and 4th in the derby. the race was an anamoly. anyone can see that who watches the video in the context of this years 3yo season, or even in the context of this decades derbys. Friesan Fire looked MUCH the best to me in my handicapping. Supposedly his injuries and rough trip hurt him, I haven't had a chance to review his trip yet. I was completely surprised that he didn't win, much less finish in the money. The reason a horseplayer only bets between 2 and 10% of his bankroll per race is that any single race can be an anamoly. It is the long haul that matters. I'll gladly admit that Friesan Fire was my confident selection. And equally so that Pioneer of the Nile wasn't used 1st or 2nd other than coverage wagers. |