Mockery of Sport?

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by ninetoone

His life's work is based on these numbers. He talked about the last out Beyer as a strong predictor of performance in the Derby the day before the race. Don't you think he would have been happier with a Summer Bird victory? I'm not bashing him, but let's get real.

seeing as how he picked IWR, i'd think he would be happier had the horse not scratched.

most folks went with previous mud experience and bet the farm on FF. that wasn't based on beyers.
if beyers don't correlate from one surface to another, then i'd imagine they aren't gospel when going from a fast track to a sloppy one.

[ninetoone]

Originally Posted by Danzig

seeing as how he picked IWR, i'd think he would be happier had the horse not scratched.

most folks went with previous mud experience and bet the farm on FF. that wasn't based on beyers.
if beyers don't correlate from one surface to another, then i'd imagine they aren't gospel when going from a fast track to a sloppy one.

OK, if you say so.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by ninetoone

OK, if you say so.

didn't they? everyone was laying on FF, saying how he had won in the slop at fairgrounds...they completely discounted the layoff, the lack of a longer race, and went just by the surface with him.

i doubt beyer gets hysterical and throws out all his stuff and retires. bombs come in, it happens. it happened yesterday, big deal.

[ninetoone]

Most people that bet yesterday didn't have a clue enough to read the form & even figure out that FF had won in the slop before.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by ninetoone

Most people that bet yesterday didn't have a clue enough to read the form & even figure out that FF had won in the slop before.

perhaps. but many of them also may have bet him because larry jones was 'due'.
but i know a lot of the folks on here kept bringing up friesan fire. i also know that everyone who knows me was asking about my pick for the race. so, i would assume that many who went to the track also asked regular race fans they know about picks-i'd imagine the word got out on the jones colt.

[ninetoone]

To say that "most folks went with previous mud experience and bet the farm on FF" is just not right. And Beyer definitely would have looked better if Summer Bird had been the bomb that won...at least he acknowledged that it was possible for SB to get into the super.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by ninetoone

To say that "most folks went with previous mud experience and bet the farm on FF" is just not right. And Beyer definitely would have looked better if Summer Bird had been the bomb that won...at least he acknowledged that it was possible for SB to get into the super.

FF went off the favorite. he achieved favoritism as soon as the skies opened up, before i want revenge scratched. all i read on here, and heard on t.v., was about his ability to win on the slop. but it's not right? how else explain why so many bet him? not one other horse was pointed out that i know of as being a known mudder.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

I understand you aren't criticizing, but do you think this makes Beyer look bad? I think 98% of people thought Mine That Bird had no shot, including Beyer. I'm sure he'll get on with his day the same way he usually does. No figures, sheets or anything else would point out Mine That Bird as anything more than an also ran before the race yesterday.

Will you sign for me?

[ninetoone]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

I understand you aren't criticizing, but do you think this makes Beyer look bad? I think 98% of people thought Mine That Bird had no shot, including Beyer. I'm sure he'll get on with his day the same way he usually does. No figures, sheets or anything else would point out Mine That Bird as anything more than an also ran before the race yesterday.

Beyer makes the figures, not everyone else....and he said the day before the race that last out Beyer's were historically a great indicator of performance in the Derby. That's what I'm saying. At least Summer Bird had a good last out Beyer. What is so hard to understand? It's not a bash, just an observation.

[Danzig]

besides that, most years he would be right-beyers do point out the winner. don't people usually criticize beyer for not picking the horse with the highest beyer going in to be the winner, and more often then not, that horse wins the race? not the horse he ends up choosing?