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  #1  
Old 04-23-2009, 09:29 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Dunkirk or Desert Party.
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  #2  
Old 04-23-2009, 09:44 PM
wac wac is offline
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Haber, it just makes me wonder b/c when im at races and some horse that i figured would be 8-1 or so jumps down to like 5/2 it always makes me wonder what did i miss? Same thing with KD but i think the odds movements are a lot more volatile like a horse i figured would be 30-1 is 9-1. Just freaks me out sometimes.

ateam, what you think dunkirk's m/l then actual post time odds will be? im thinking m/l 10-1 post time 6-1.
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  #3  
Old 04-23-2009, 09:58 PM
robfla robfla is offline
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Chocolate Candy
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  #4  
Old 04-23-2009, 10:00 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wac
Haber, it just makes me wonder b/c when im at races and some horse that i figured would be 8-1 or so jumps down to like 5/2 it always makes me wonder what did i miss? Same thing with KD but i think the odds movements are a lot more volatile like a horse i figured would be 30-1 is 9-1. Just freaks me out sometimes.

ateam, what you think dunkirk's m/l then actual post time odds will be? im thinking m/l 10-1 post time 6-1.
I think it'll be hard for Dunkirk to go down to 6-1 since IWR, Quality Road, and PoTN (debatable I guess) will probably take more money than him.
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  #5  
Old 04-23-2009, 10:06 PM
robfla robfla is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
I think it'll be hard for Dunkirk to go down to 6-1 since IWR, Quality Road, and PoTN (debatable I guess) will probably take more money than him.

I think the betting is going to be similar to the 2007 edition with the fav @ almost 5:1 ( IWR ), two others at just under 10:1, ( QR and Dunkirk ) some mid-prices, and probably 10 or 12 @ 25:1 or more
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  #6  
Old 04-24-2009, 06:04 AM
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Absolutely 100% Dunkirk... My buddies in NYC who do not follow racing except on Derby day are already picking Dunkirk as the winner..
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  #7  
Old 04-24-2009, 06:11 AM
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Pioneer of the Nile after Weds. work
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  #8  
Old 04-24-2009, 06:22 AM
johnny pinwheel johnny pinwheel is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62
Absolutely 100% Dunkirk... My buddies in NYC who do not follow racing except on Derby day are already picking Dunkirk as the winner..
i agree, i think people will be surprised when he is overbet. the guy that writes for the saratogian (brendan O'meara) keeps saying that this will be pletchers , break through. so, i know there are plenty of folks on the bandwagon. there is alot of talk about square eddie too, who i feel has no shot in the race. but , the best horse does not always win the derby anyway.
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  #9  
Old 04-24-2009, 08:23 AM
2 Dollar Bill 2 Dollar Bill is offline
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Any of the Italian Horses ?
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  #10  
Old 04-24-2009, 08:25 AM
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I agree about Dunkirk. I think some casual fans might look at Chocolate Candy with Mike Smith and think it's "Giacomo" all over again, which I won't buy into at all.
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  #11  
Old 04-24-2009, 09:31 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62
Absolutely 100% Dunkirk... My buddies in NYC who do not follow racing except on Derby day are already picking Dunkirk as the winner..


Your buddies who don't follow racing, except for Derby Days, are thus not anything close to " wise guys. "
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  #12  
Old 04-24-2009, 09:42 AM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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I'm thinking it will be Papa Clem. I think that the three main horses coming out of California (Pioneer, IWR, and Papa Clem) all had/have the dirt question to answer. IWR and PC both have answered it while Pioneer has yet to do so. Now that we know PC can run on the dirt, I think more attention is going to be put on the fact that he did finish ahead of IWR at Santa Anita. I know Old Fashioned got hurt in the running and a lot of people weren't impressed with the Arkansas Derby but for me, it was a really good effort. I could see Papa Clem dropping down to about the 7/1 or 8/1 range.
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  #13  
Old 04-24-2009, 09:43 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Your buddies who don't follow racing, except for Derby Days, are thus not anything close to " wise guys. "
Not saying they were Andy... I'm saying that wise guy horses get talked up and those with a casual interest and maybe a bookie or two get wind.. "Wise Guy" horse is not a positive thing to me. It is a overhyped, overbet horse who won't win.
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  #14  
Old 04-24-2009, 10:42 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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When was the last time the "wise guy" horse actually WON the Derby? Or even hit the board???

And I don't want to hear Monarchos because he was a strong contender all season.
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  #15  
Old 04-23-2009, 10:08 PM
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South Beach Luv South Beach Luv is offline
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I get ESPN the magazine, and of course they never have jack sh1t for horse racing coverage. Then they go ahead and put in something horse related in this issue and of course it's not a good story about the sport or the Derby coming up, it's about vets that have to put down horses on the track including a gruesome picture of a horse with 2 broken forelegs.
Then in a little sidebox they give their wiseguy horses.

Chocolate Candy
Desert Party

and Pioneer of the Nile - lol
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  #16  
Old 04-24-2009, 11:14 AM
DogsUp DogsUp is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Dunkirk or Desert Party.
The local "experts" are all over Desert Party. Asher has him winning and Byrne has him coming in 2nd.
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