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#2
03-10-2009, 05:41 PM
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Elusive Heat is the 3rd shortest price horse?
I thought they were going to keep her sprinting? They passed on running her seven furlongs last time against a pair of horses she photo'd with after a typically silly and overly passive ride Prado specializes in giving speed sprinters. 
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#4
03-10-2009, 07:05 PM
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Quote:
Strong rumor that she's entered in the 6f G3 Cicada this weekend @ AQU.... My guess is the 7f G2 Comely afterward and never even a remote thought entertained with regard to this race. Could be wrong, but it sure seems doubtful given her success short and her ped - a G1 1 1/8th would be insane for her EDIT- NOT going in the Cicada - Last edited by Rudeboyelvis : 03-11-2009 at 02:59 PM.
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#5
03-10-2009, 07:16 PM
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Quote:
NT
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#6
03-10-2009, 10:04 PM
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Quote:
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#8
03-11-2009, 06:57 AM
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COLTS and FILLIES PP'S AVAILABLE AT BAFFERT'S PAGE FOR PP'S:
http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/brisw...99/summary.htm
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
03-13-2009, 11:18 AM
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Quality Road has drifted up to 17-1 early and without a race this weekend, he may get lost in the shuffle.
__________________
Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
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#10
03-13-2009, 12:14 PM
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The panel who determines the individual betting interests has been terrible this year. In Pool 1 they had a bunch of big fig sprinters. Here they include sprinter Big Drama who hasn't run and missed at least a month of training in Feb and March. On the filly side they include a filly whose trainer says she's not pointing to the Oaks in Dream Empress. McPeek said in January that the was pointing to the Oaks at Epsom and that she's not a dirt horse. These guys work for the Form, but do they read the Form?
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RIP Monroe.
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#11
03-13-2009, 02:47 PM
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For comparison, here are current odds at TheGreek.com. (These are not parimutual--ie, your odds don't change after you bet.)
They'll take these odds down before the races tomorrow. I doubt they'll put them up again on Sunday. For these odds, I calculated that the takeout is just 9.7%. "+4550" means 45.5 to 1 2201 Bears Rocket +4550 2202 Beethoven +3550 2203 Big Drama scratch 2204 Chocolate Candy +4050 2205 Desert Party +1415 2206 Dunkirk +1300 2207 Flying Pegasus +3550 2208 Friesan Fire +1815 2209 General Quarters +3050 2210 Giant Oak +2550 2211 Hello Broadway +2550 2212 I Want Revenge +1200 2213 Imperial Council +2550 2214 Old Fashioned +845 2215 Papa Clem +4050 2216 Patena +2550 2217 Pioneer of the Nile +1325 2218 Quality Road +1815 2219 Silver City +6050 2220 Take the Points +6050 2221 The Pamplemousse +2050 2222 Theregoesjojo +3050 2223 West Side Bernie +4050 2224 Any Other Horse +485 --Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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#12
03-14-2009, 07:51 AM
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Big Drama was the 2nd highest price at 48/1 ... yeah maybe he shouldn't have been back again on account of no subsequent race. The panel should have one job and one job alone ... and that's to determine who the 23 horses likely to take the most money are - and place them as the 23 entries in the bet. It's as simple as that. There job isn't to determine who is a sprinter and who is a router. Afleet Alex lost the first several route races of his career - and looked like a sprinter going into the Ark Derby - it didn't stop him from winning the Belmont with ease.
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