2/14: Magna 5 (Fritchie-Gr. II)

[pick4]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

It is clearly a very fun race and there are a number of ways to go as three of us have made good arguments for four horses and haven't even discussed the probable favorite.

As far as Access Fee, she is clearly in career best form right now and she is working beautifully for this effort. Dream Rush seems to have had some of the runaway speed she showed in the past trained out of her as she's rated in her last two starts. That might be significant for AF because she'll really have to deal only with Now It Begins, who she handled easily last time out.

NT

Dream Rush was always speed when she was in top form. Perhaps she's lost a step? West Point made a killing with her during her 3 year old season and sold at the right time. If you look at the 5/25/08 race at Belmont that was a terrible race for DR. As bad as it looks on paper it was even worse watching.

Maybe Access Fee is the one to beat. She has never run a bad race and the off the board finish on the IDT @ Aqueduct she ran wide into fast fractions and had the lead before tiring late. Laurel is her home track.

[pick4]

Santa Anita 4th is another toughie. Booted has won sprinting on the grass going 6 and going long stalking a hot pace a 1 1/16. He was a victim of a hot pace in the stakes race as that race fell apart. He looks intersting moving back to a 7f on turn race. Angie Engineer has done little wrong in his three race career. He looks to have a lot of upside and should relish the distance as he climbs the class ladder.

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by pick4

Santa Anita 4th is another toughie. Booted has won sprinting on the grass going 6 and going long stalking a hot pace a 1 1/16. He was a victim of a hot pace in the stakes race as that race fell apart. He looks intersting moving back to a 7f on turn race. Angie Engineer has done little wrong in his three race career. He looks to have a lot of upside and should relish the distance as he climbs the class ladder.

The only thing that scares me here is Malt Magic. Now in the hands of Mitchell and luring Bejarano, I don't know what to think. There's not a ton of speed here, and if he has him cranked like the last time he came off an extended layoff, he could be hard to catch.

[pick4]

Originally Posted by lemoncrush

The only thing that scares me here is Malt Magic. Now in the hands of Mitchell and luring Bejarano, I don't know what to think. There's not a ton of speed here, and if he has him cranked like the last time he came off an extended layoff, he could be hard to catch.

Malt Magic has obviously had serious physical problems. I'm well aware that Mike Mitchell is a miracle worker but I think it's asking an awful of this horse to go 7 after another extended vacation, barn change, breaking from the rail and facing horses who look like they have some ability with sharp recent form.

I might get burned leaving Malt Magic off the ticket. However at some point in these multis you have to take a stand against certain horses.

[pick4]

If I'm fortunate to get past the first two legs alive I'm making my stand in The Hallandale with Duke of Hamburg. He was an unlucky 5th a few weeks back. All he needs is a better trip and if he gets the trip I think he gets his picture taken after the race.

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by pick4

If I'm fortunate to get past the first two legs alive I'm making my stand in The Hallandale with Duke of Hamburg. He was an unlucky 5th a few weeks back. All he needs is a better trip and if he gets the trip I think he gets his picture taken after the race.

This was a nice call. Got a much better trip this time around.

[pick4]

Originally Posted by lemoncrush

This was a nice call. Got a much better trip this time around.

My Magna 5 wager died quick. I had 3,4,8 in leg A. I had the winners of the last three legs. Duke of Humberg finally ran a good race. I made out pretty well with him in exotics.

A bad wagering day for me today. I had all the winners of Aqueducts' late pick 4 on my tickets. Unfortunately I did not all 4 winners on the same ticket.
I missed hitting the early Big A pick 4 has I let a friend talk me off of Holly Time. That was no biggy but $190 would have been nice to add to the account.

Hopefully the Laurel race will be a bit easier next week.

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by pick4

Malt Magic has obviously had serious physical problems. I'm well aware that Mike Mitchell is a miracle worker but I think it's asking an awful of this horse to go 7 after another extended vacation, barn change, breaking from the rail and facing horses who look like they have some ability with sharp recent form.

I might get burned leaving Malt Magic off the ticket. However at some point in these multis you have to take a stand against certain horses.

I agree with everything you said, not to mention that it's Malt Magic's first time on synthetic, although it seems he's training well over it.
I just think his omission from my ticket is going to worry me a bit.
My top choice is probably Aggie's Engineer, but I'll probably cover Booted as well. I'm not sure if the rider change to Gomez will be enough to improve the under-achieving Medzedeekron.

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by pick4

Dream Rush was always speed when she was in top form. Perhaps she's lost a step? West Point made a killing with her during her 3 year old season and sold at the right time. If you look at the 5/25/08 race at Belmont that was a terrible race for DR. As bad as it looks on paper it was even worse watching.

Maybe Access Fee is the one to beat. She has never run a bad race and the off the board finish on the IDT @ Aqueduct she ran wide into fast fractions and had the lead before tiring late. Laurel is her home track.

I think Dream Rush, at this stage in her career, doesn't want any part of 7F, and running on a track that she's never set foot on is enough for me to toss her. I think the big question is...who will be able to rate. I think there's enough tactical speed so nobody (like the rail horse) will get loose on the lead.