1/2: Aqueduct/Santa Anita (C/O's)

[Kasept]

Carryovers in New York ($30k) and Arcadia ($143k) Friday, with the Santa Anita string looking far more playable with two potential singles. Big A races are brutally tough, at least to me, and the Late P4 may be the more prudent approach there.

Returned home Thursday from a very pleasant 9 days away. Hope you had a super Holiday Season, and are ready for a great '09...


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

SCR: 1

Most Likely: #6 Tis Cactus Nellie 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Earle's First Girl 4-1 WON
Must Use: #2 Starship Cruiser 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Mickeless 12-1 5th

$1 Exacta (7-2) Paid $12.20


5th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

SCR: 1a-7

Most Likely: #6 Carpathian 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 (POE) Jenay Benay 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Craftly Shocked 20-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Kiss and Fly 4-1 WON

$1 Exacta (4-6) Paid $24.10
$1 Trifecta (4-6-5) Paid $221.75
$1 Superfecta (4-6-5-1) Paid $785.00


6th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

SCR: 1a

Most Likely: #3 Precursor 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Waltzing With Blue 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Retriever 7-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Tapit's Brew 9-2 5th


7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD)

SCR: 1a-2b-9

Most Likely: #8 Peleliu 3-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Tainted Love 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Seventeen Love 12-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Very confusing group..

SCR: 1a-7

Most Likely: #6 Flint River 7-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Papa Bear 9-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Malibu Moonshine 12-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Barrier Reef 6-1 WON


9th: S/ALW, 4+, 1m-70y (Super)

Best Value: #4 Cozzene's Destiny 10-1 7th
Most Likely: #9 Stopbluffing 4-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Greenspirit 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Lion by My Side 7-2 3rd

$1 Exacta (9-8) Paid $30.50
$1 Trifecta (9-8-7) Paid $81.50


<$192 P6 Play:

4: 2-6-7
5: 1-6
6: 3-6
7: 7-8
8: 3-6
9: 4-9

3x2x2x2x2x2 = 96 x 2 = $192


@$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-6-7-8
7: 7-8
8: 3-6
9: 4-6-7-8-9

4x2x2x5 = $80



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Flag Waver 9-2 11th
Best Value: #8 Not So Plain Jane 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Holychoir 7-2 6th
Super Add: #3 Spoolish 8-1 8th


4th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 ALL MAN 7-2 WON
Best Value: #10 Searchforthetruth 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Rathor 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Midwesterner 12-1 7th

$1 Exacta (1-2) Paid $11.40
$1 Trifecta (1-2-6) Paid $35.30


5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Heathersdaddysbaby 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #2 Tough Apples 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Wonderous Event 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Powerofvoodoo 12-1 5th

$1 Exacta (9-1) Paid $19.70
$1 Trifecta (9-1-2) Paid $46.60


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Cat Brulay 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Fiery Trippi 15-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Cape Hatchet 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Overbid 12-1 6th


7th: 8th Paseana H., F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 VICTORIANA 9-5 WON
Best Value: #4 Island Hop 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Double Trouble 7-5 4th


8th: MDN CLM, 4+, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Motorboat 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Weevescent 8-1 WON
Next Best: #11 Stray Cat 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #12 The Emerald King 5-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #5 Premier Issue 12-1 8th

$1 Exacta (7-8) Paid $19.40
$1 Trifecta (7-8-12) Paid $89.20


<$300 P6 Play:

3: 2-3-7-8-9-12
4: 1
5: 1-2-4-9
6: 3-6-10
7: 3
8: 7-8

6x1x4x3x1x2 = 144 x 2 = $288

$2 Pick 6 (9/1/9/2/3/7) 5 of 6 Paid $449.00


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-2-4-9
6: 3-6-8-10
7: 3
8: 7-8-11-12

4x4x1x4 = $64


Good luck!
Steve