Un MOTHER F'n BELIEVABLE - Full Tilt

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by SentToStud

In a full-ring limit game AA will hold up something like 11 out of 20 times.

A few days ago, I was playing limit and I'm the BB. Real loose game and by the time it got to L1, it was capped and by the time it got to me there were 8 people still in. I figured at least 7, besides me, to the flop. I folded . This has happened to me several times and I'm convinced it's the right thing to do as it's hugely unlikely I can improve (other A's already out, I figure) and with that many in, I'm gonna lose to a set or flopped 2-pair.

Comments?

I'm hardly an expert, but I have played a lot of limit online. I've been beating the 3-6 games very steadily for 3 years.

I think folding AA as you did was a big mistake. You cannot assume in a loose game that the other aces are out just because there are a lot of callers. Even if they are out, that's 2 opponents who you will be dominating massively. In addition, your 2 aces give you 2 ways to make the nut flush when 4-of-a-suit are on the board.

You are going to get beat most of the time, but you are probably getting 3 or 4-1 odds to the end, so you only have to win a little more than 25% of the time to show a profit. Your aces will hold up that often.

--Dunbar