Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-19-2008, 09:58 PM
miraja2's Avatar
miraja2 miraja2 is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 4,157
Default

In the example you used here the horse in 2/5, so I agree that a win bet is probably not a smart bet. However, I will say that I think some people are overly eager to rule out ever betting on an odds-on horse. Sometimes, you can actually find value in these horses.
If you see a horse that looks like a 1/5 shot to you, and the horse is 4/5 on the board, why not bet it to win?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-19-2008, 10:01 PM
dalakhani's Avatar
dalakhani dalakhani is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Washington dc
Posts: 5,277
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
In the example you used here the horse in 2/5, so I agree that a win bet is probably not a smart bet. However, I will say that I think some people are overly eager to rule out ever betting on an odds-on horse. Sometimes, you can actually find value in these horses.
If you see a horse that looks like a 1/5 shot to you, and the horse is 4/5 on the board, why not bet it to win?
I have no problem with this rationale.

Heck, in a short field in the right circumstances, i think bridgejumping is a good bet.

In this example he gave a 2/5 likely winner in an 8-10 horse field. Unless you can find something underneath at a price, I would just skip the race.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-19-2008, 10:59 PM
Bobby Fischer's Avatar
Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 2,401
Default

Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-20-2008, 12:30 AM
DogsUp DogsUp is offline
Detroit Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Louisville
Posts: 285
Default

When I am faced with this type of race, I hope it is part of the pick 4 or pick 3. That way I am faced with a pick 3 or a pick 2. You can always increase your wager to like a $10 pick 3 or a $4 pick 4. Or I like to see if an exacta will pay more than $10. If that is the case then I will put a $10 or $20 exacta down with the 2/5 horse on top of 2 horses and hope for the best. However, most of the time I skip this type of race.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-20-2008, 12:35 AM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

I agree with the masses here. Either pass the race or single in a horizontal bet.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-20-2008, 05:32 AM
zippyneedsawin's Avatar
zippyneedsawin zippyneedsawin is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,064
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
I agree with the masses here. Either pass the race or single in a horizontal bet.
Unless you think you can beat the big fav., this is the way to go.
__________________
Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-20-2008, 09:31 AM
dellinger63's Avatar
dellinger63 dellinger63 is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: U.S.A.
Posts: 10,072
Default

with 5 mins to post go get a beer and then sip it till they're in the gate. Go attempt to make the bet get shut out and then either count the $$$$ you saved or laugh at how little the exacta and tri paid.......
__________________
“To compel a man to furnish funds for the propagation of ideas he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.” Thomas Jefferson

Last edited by dellinger63 : 10-20-2008 at 11:56 AM.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:21 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.