the mind of the handicapper....

[Scav]

Originally Posted by oracle80

Listen to me my son, the single worst thing anyone can do is to make big win bets on chalk. I cringe when I meet people who do this. Its insanity. You may as well bet sports, you have to be right 60% of the time just to break EVEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! No way Tom, no how. Its an exercise in futility.
You say management, I say betting structure. That circle the presses system I showed you on Pik's is one way to give your self a chnace to hit a big one while also providing a break even avenue as well as extra cash on it if the horses you like most score. And its cheaper.
Those big win bets can put you in a deep hole in no time at all if you catch a bad ride or horses gets left at the gate. Once you are in the deep hole emotion creeps in and clouds your judgement. A little to make a lot is better than a lot to make a little.

I agree, but I do think there is certain spots to do it and certain spots not to do it, yesterday was a misguided error. I just hit the early double at Pimilco for $100 so I was a little excited, and fired half of it right back......BUT, a horse like High Expectation at Arlington yesterday, who should have been 3/5 or 4/5, should get unloaded like that...I was so pissed at myself when that horse won yesterday, and for the record, Janks is winning EVERYTHING in site, she is looking to have a HUGE Illinois Day, which is in 3 weeks.