Pick 4

[philcski]

Originally Posted by jcs11204

I think im going to go pick 4 crazy untill i hit one, i just got done handicapping and here is what i have for thursday... good luck everyone

Belmont

early.......2,3,4/2,6/2,3/1,6,9......$36
late........3,4,5/5/2,4,7,9/2,6,8.......$36

Churchill

early.....1,4/1,2,6/2,3/6.....$12
late......6,7,8/4,5,6/1/2,5,8,10.........$36

Word of advice, especially after yesterday... it is VERY difficult to hit P4's on a $36 budget. Why not take the $120 you have here and play it on the one you like best of the four? For example, you caught a nice bomb in the first leg of the P4 yesterday, but were too thin to complete the sequence which cost dearly.

Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin

I understand what you mean, but if a horse you don't have gets pounded down to even money, I know I would be second guessing myself if I don't have the horse.

I like JCS' strategy here on firsters. If I like a firster and he drifts up, especially from lesser connections, I wouldn't take him out of my play. If a Pletcher firster I don't necessarily like gets pounded to 6/5 I'm not going to add him just because of that.

The one thing I'll add to that is if a firster from very obscure connections gets hammered I'll rethink to add. Once or twice a year at SAR some Finger Lakes based trainer will get a hot NYB.