Hollywood Park Friday Night 5/16/08. Early Pick 4

[pick4]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

I love it...I am looking at the early 4 right now.

Agreed on the first race, although a bit worried Frankel has something up his sleeve with two in here.

The second is tough...use but cant trust the fav. You know he will be up front so gonna have to be someone in the second flight to beat him at the wire...maybe One on the House? Maybe Brave Sun?

In the 3rd, I have been betting (and losing) on Toppers Smiling the last 3 races. Watch them..Baze stops riding in the lane, so either they are setting this one up for a win at a price or she has some "issues" and they dont want to press it. I tend to think this one shows up big tomorrow night since Baze stays. Also have to use Excessive Tale due to T/J combo. Although a lot of speed, so it could fall apart up front. Have not figured who could come late and pick up the pieces.

The 4th...I'm on 4,5,6 and maybe the 3.

Still looking, but good luck

The 3rd race stinks.. but what do you think about Excessive Tales long vacation. Monteleone is a decent off the claim but something had to go wrong to take a 3 month break between works. Is 5 1/2 too short? Could this be a tightener for a longer race next out?

Topper's Smiling has had two races and might be setup for a better race this time as this field is weaker than either of the two he ran against over at Santa Anita.

[bigjag0716]

I agree about the 10 horse in the 3rd race, but the race stinks so bad. She's shaky when it comes to winning also. I had to include her in my pick 4, just because the quality of the race is terrible. If you can come up with another horse that you think might be solid enough to throw out the 10 please share.

[pick4]

Originally Posted by bigjag0716

I agree about the 10 horse in the 3rd race, but the race stinks so bad. She's shaky when it comes to winning also. I had to include her in my pick 4, just because the quality of the race is terrible. If you can come up with another horse that you think might be solid enough to throw out the 10 please share.

After a good night sleep and a day at work I'll be in better shape to look at the 3rd race. I'm a bit horsed out from looking at pp's to dissect the 3rd and 4th races.

The 6 is a first time gelding in the 1st, I wouldn't toss. The surface switch and FTG might be enough to wake this one up.