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Old 04-16-2008, 01:28 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
The fact that it didn't work means it was poor management.
Since when did you become such a results queen?

Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
They went from the possible Derby favorite after the Rebel, to not even making it maybe a few weeks later. It was very poor management.
I'm not sure he'd have beaten Sierra Sunset in the Rebal - SS didn't have Silver Edition pestering him the whole way like in the Southwest - but I'd say it was a coinflip between him and SS for the Rebel win if he goes there.

In order to be the Derby favorite over Big Brown - he'd have needed to win the Rebel, and wheel back and win the Ark Derby impressively. That was unlikely.

Denis Of Cork has four career races - and three Beyers in the 80's. Come on Hossy - he was no killer.
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Old 04-16-2008, 02:10 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
However his campaign this year should be what people look NOT to do in the future. How can you deny that?
Basically, all that happened was that the connections decided to pass the Rebel because they didn't want to run him two more times in a short window before the Derby. Fine, if they think they have a horse who can compete in all three legs of the triple crown series, I don't blame them.

Now, you are left with The Wood or The Illi Derby as your options.

You pass on the bigger tougher field, and go where you will be the odds on favorite in a short field.

What is it you disagree with most - not putting in two more starts before the TC Series or opting for the Hawthorne race over the Wood?

Unless you can predict unforeseen pace scenerios and track biases long in advance - the horse was spotted correctly.
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Old 04-16-2008, 02:22 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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I hear ya - and I thought it was pretty amusing how they changed plans every other day.

If he just wins the Illi Derby at odds on - isn't he in a 3-way scramble with Pyro and CJ for 2nd choice in the Derby? - and isn't he better suited to see out all three races in the series?
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