Ive always looked at that im not that good at picking horses so the ones that i do pick i better have the enternal feeling of "yes those are odds i'll bet at" or "man i like that horse but the odds are too low" Good example this weekends BG i have a future bet on Monba and while i dont think he will win KD i know that the horse has talent and his race in the foy was a mess got cut flipped palate. AFter hearing that he had throat surgery i had a really good feeling about him when his morning line was 15-1 i figured he'd go off about 10-1 but when i saw 8 i thought it was just to low so i passed. Now of course he wins the race but i have NEVER and i mean NEVER cashed a tix on a horse then when i made the bet felt that the odds were to low but just think the horse will win. And believe me i've done it on several occasions. Just a lesson ive learned in the last 5yrs. Sometimes, like Sat it bites me, but overall i think its something that is good that ive learned.I would say that im usually right about passing over something that i think is to low.I mean the best handicappers over time hit what 30%-35% of the time?? I know im no where close to that so i better get the best odds i can.
|
04-14-2008, 12:43 AM
Hybrid Mode
