Monba?

jcs11204 · #1 04-13-2008, 03:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

You are right that anything can happen in this Derby. The problem though is Monba is now assured of being overbet relative to his miniscule chances so is a bad play.

bad play ? i doubt he will be overbet... coming into the year he was top 5 on most ppl's lists. he got banged up badly in the FOY. He won yeterday, and already has run big at churchill, so what is overbet in your opinion ? i think around 10 or 15-1 is correct.

SniperSB23 · #2 04-13-2008, 09:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204

bad play ? i doubt he will be overbet... coming into the year he was top 5 on most ppl's lists. he got banged up badly in the FOY. He won yeterday, and already has run big at churchill, so what is overbet in your opinion ? i think around 10 or 15-1 is correct.

I would think 40-1 would be about right so you'd need 50-1 or so to get value. I'm not even sure if this horse could beat Anak Nakal on dirt.

wac · #3 04-13-2008, 11:58 PM

I guess it depends on what you him in the future bet. I unfortunatly have him in the 1st bet at 19-1 while he closed in the 2nd at like 36-1 i think?? If any of the horses i have future bets are in the derby i doubt they will be higher then they were when i made the bet. i only did 1st pool and put money on dennis of cork, monba, colonel john and zhumor. I feel that if those 4 are in the gate for KD they are gonna be higher odds so i wont put any money on them to win thats for sure.Although zhumor will be pretty high i think his closing price was 47-1 and now that i think about it he may be higher then that derby day. the other 3 i think they will be lower.

Hickory Hill Hoff · #4 04-14-2008, 08:19 AM

Saturday was the day to make money with him, his good poly form and the price (although it was split in half from the morning line for various reasons) got him also at 19-1 in pool#1. I'll most likely go off in the range or a little higher. Doubt he'll be over 30-1 because of Pletcher & the Bluegrass victory. Most likely will use him in the gimmicks.....maybe he'll be another Invisible Ink.

Hawthornechris · #5 04-14-2008, 09:58 AM

I'm glad I had enough faith in Monba to cash a ticket on him on Saturday...I do have in the first future pool at 16 to 1 or somewhere around there...I think we could have four or five horses all go off at 5 or 6 to 1 with no clear favorite...could be interesting...gotta believe the exotics are gonna pay off huge if you hit