Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-23-2008, 10:19 PM
RolloTomasi's Avatar
RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,612
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
THEY ARE RUSHING this horse into this spot. His last race was very good, and this horse would be a Grade 1 turf winner if they would just relax. This horse would easily win the Secretariat Stakes at Arlington (400k) unless some Euro nut horse comes over.
You just handed him a Grade 1 race over 2 furlongs further than he's ever run, scheduled for over 5 months from now, in hand by open lengths, and you're telling the connections to relax?

What exactly is your idea of "relaxing" by the way? Encasing the colt in a Plaster-of-Paris cast and hiring Drillbit Taylor to guard him 24/7 until Arlington opens?

Quote:
All this horse is going to do is get fried on the lead against some seriously seasoned horses on the synethic tracks, why risk the future to see IF he can handle it.
Yeah, there seems to be a lot of speed lining up for the race, what with Yankee Bravo being added to the speed-laden trio of Georgie Boy, Colonel John, and El Gato Malo.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-23-2008, 10:38 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
You just handed him a Grade 1 race over 2 furlongs further than he's ever run, scheduled for over 5 months from now, in hand by open lengths, and you're telling the connections to relax?

What exactly is your idea of "relaxing" by the way? Encasing the colt in a Plaster-of-Paris cast and hiring Drillbit Taylor to guard him 24/7 until Arlington opens?

Yeah, there seems to be a lot of speed lining up for the race, what with Yankee Bravo being added to the speed-laden trio of Georgie Boy, Colonel John, and El Gato Malo.
So your idea is better, which is go to a 9f Grade 1 on a track he has never won over, instead of maybe running in a Grade 3 on the lawn at a mile, or maybe running in an allowance race on the synethic to just check and see if he would take to the rubber?
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-23-2008, 11:03 PM
Linny's Avatar
Linny Linny is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: NY
Posts: 2,104
Default

If the 'classic" colts are weak, folk come out of the wood work. I can't balme them. Look at Adriano. He looked like a Derby colt on the Ply yesterday. On dirt, he was a disaster.
__________________
RIP Monroe.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-23-2008, 11:20 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Linny
If the 'classic" colts are weak, folk come out of the wood work. I can't balme them. Look at Adriano. He looked like a Derby colt on the Ply yesterday. On dirt, he was a disaster.
They have tried it with Adriano a couple times, that horse won't crack the top 10 in the Derby but they are FORCING IT.

They don't have to force Polinus into this, instead they could take their time. It is such a novel idea to try and be patient with a good horse.

It isn't like this horse is seasoned and has 8 races under his belt. SA Derby will be his 5th race I think.

Everyone's dream is to get to the Derby, this I understand, but they could easily win some races with this guy and put the money they win from this horse, into some yearlings and develop their Derby horse, instead of potentially ruining this horse.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-24-2008, 12:32 AM
RolloTomasi's Avatar
RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,612
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
They don't have to force Polinus into this, instead they could take their time. It is such a novel idea to try and be patient with a good horse.

It isn't like this horse is seasoned and has 8 races under his belt. SA Derby will be his 5th race I think.

Everyone's dream is to get to the Derby, this I understand, but they could easily win some races with this guy and put the money they win from this horse, into some yearlings and develop their Derby horse, instead of potentially ruining this horse.
But haven't they already taken their time with Polonius? Didn't he break his maiden way back in July of last year and then didn't show up again until last month?

Doesn't that suggest that he has physical issues? If he's in form at the present, don't they have to take their shot now as opposed to a meticulously progressive campaign of turf races that culminates in a facile win in the Secretariat in August?

Maybe we can get Ron Burgundy to investigate and shed some light on this.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-24-2008, 03:42 AM
Bigsmc's Avatar
Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 8,577
Default

Did you see a couple movies this weekend Rollo?

Drillbit Taylor and Ron Burgundy in the same thread.....
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-24-2008, 04:39 AM
cmorioles's Avatar
cmorioles cmorioles is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 3,169
Default

It would be silly to pass up the Santa Anita Fake Dirt Derby with a good turf horse. This one set a relaxed pace last out and finished strong, so he doesn't appear to be the tough to rate type that falter on synthetics.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 03-24-2008, 12:00 AM
RolloTomasi's Avatar
RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,612
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
So your idea is better, which is go to a 9f Grade 1 on a track he has never won over, instead of maybe running in a Grade 3 on the lawn at a mile, or maybe running in an allowance race on the synethic to just check and see if he would take to the rubber?
It's not my idea, it's the trainer's, who assumingly watches the colt train every day over the very surface the Santa Anita Derby is run on.

Nonetheless, I think the idea of running in the Santa Anita Derby is a better idea than running in a Grade 3 on the grass...cuz the latter doesn't exist.

The allowance is shaky, too, as a 2nd condition is unlikely to fill this time of year. But let's say it does, and further still, let's say he crushes in it like Big Brown did at GP. Guess what? No graded earnings for the Derby!

The owners would be so pissed they might let Drillbit take over the training.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 03-24-2008, 12:06 AM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
It's not my idea, it's the trainer's, who assumingly watches the colt train every day over the very surface the Santa Anita Derby is run on.

Nonetheless, I think the idea of running in the Santa Anita Derby is a better idea than running in a Grade 3 on the grass...cuz the latter doesn't exist.

The allowance is shaky, too, as a 2nd condition is unlikely to fill this time of year. But let's say it does, and further still, let's say he crushes in it like Big Brown did at GP. Guess what? No graded earnings for the Derby!

The owners would be so pissed they might let Drillbit take over the training.
This aint the trainer speaking. The guy just won HIS FIRST STAKES. This is all owner. This horse has to improve about 20 lengths to even be in Georgie Boy's radar.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 03-24-2008, 08:44 AM
Linny's Avatar
Linny Linny is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: NY
Posts: 2,104
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
This aint the trainer speaking. The guy just won HIS FIRST STAKES. This is all owner. This horse has to improve about 20 lengths to even be in Georgie Boy's radar.
Elysium Fields may be one of the choices in the G1 Florida Derby and all hes won is a maiden. Giacomo was eligible for a NW1x when he won the damn KY DERBY. Stuff happens. It's a chaotic 3yo bunch. You have to take a shot.
__________________
RIP Monroe.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 03-24-2008, 10:23 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Linny
Giacomo was eligible for a NW1x when he won the damn KY DERBY. Stuff happens. It's a chaotic 3yo bunch. You have to take a shot.
Giacomo would be the most consistantly fast horse going now on Beyers if he was in this crop.

He got a 94 in his final start at age 2, a 98 in the Sham when he was caught 4 wide on both turns on a track where Going Wild rode the live rail the whole way, than he got a 93 in by far the fastest San Felipe stakes ever run, over a super fast track that was carrying speed.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 03-24-2008, 10:42 AM
cmorioles's Avatar
cmorioles cmorioles is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 3,169
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Giacomo would be the most consistantly fast horse going now on Beyers if he was in this crop.

He got a 94 in his final start at age 2, a 98 in the Sham when he was caught 4 wide on both turns on a track where Going Wild rode the live rail the whole way, than he got a 93 in by far the fastest San Felipe stakes ever run, over a super fast track that was carrying speed.
Anyone attempting to say this crop is strong should have to begin by explaining how this could be possible.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 03-24-2008, 10:49 AM
Linny's Avatar
Linny Linny is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: NY
Posts: 2,104
Default

This seaon Giocomo would be a standout! (Scary stuff!)

The point is that in a chaotic season, made more so by the "synthetic factor" it may be worth it to take a shot. The top 3 from the San Felipe were all stretchout sprinters. Col. John is bred to route but has not exactly been a monster.
It may not be about making Polonius a KY Derby winner but getting G1 3yo credentials into him. No matter what, the "turf 3yo divisions" may be nice for making money (Va Derby etc) but it's not where you make "credentials" for your 3yo.
__________________
RIP Monroe.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 03-23-2008, 11:31 PM
Riot's Avatar
Riot Riot is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 14,153
Default

Quote:
Yeah, there seems to be a lot of speed lining up for the race, what with Yankee Bravo being added to the speed-laden trio of Georgie Boy, Colonel John, and El Gato Malo.
Had a bit of a nightmare fantasy the other day, it was about getting a Triple Crown winner in 2008, started off with a Derby completed in 2:05.43 .....
__________________
"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 03-23-2008, 11:32 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,614
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
You just handed him a Grade 1 race over 2 furlongs further than he's ever run, scheduled for over 5 months from now, in hand by open lengths, and you're telling the connections to relax?

What exactly is your idea of "relaxing" by the way? Encasing the colt in a Plaster-of-Paris cast and hiring Drillbit Taylor to guard him 24/7 until Arlington opens?



Yeah, there seems to be a lot of speed lining up for the race, what with Yankee Bravo being added to the speed-laden trio of Georgie Boy, Colonel John, and El Gato Malo.
The highlighted part might be the funniest and best thing I've ever read on here.

I can't blame the connections for trying this. It's painfully obvious that turf horses run very well on this stuff and with how fragile these horses are, you have to take advantage of the opportunities as they present themselves instead of worrying about five months down the line.

It doesn't matter if the SA Derby will only be his fifth race or his 30th. What was the Arkansas Derby for Curlin? Seems he turned out ok. The Arkansas Derby was the 6th start for Smarty Jones. He did ok. How many starts did Seattle Slew have going into the TC?

Also, it's not like he's giving away a ton of seasoning to the others. How many starts has Colonel John had? El Gato Malo? The SA Derby will be the 6th for CJ and the 5th for EGM.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 03-23-2008, 11:36 PM
letswastemoney's Avatar
letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Turlock, CA
Posts: 2,561
Default

I would enter him in the SA Derby if I had that horse, just based on how well turf horses do on SA synthetic. Decent horses come rarely. Who knows if they'll have this opportunity again? They would regret not trying.
__________________
Lady and The Track
Twitter
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 03-23-2008, 11:42 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

More so, SPEED hasn't done **** on Santa Anita's synethic, thus making this even more mind boggling.....
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 03-23-2008, 11:43 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
The highlighted part might be the funniest and best thing I've ever read on here.

I can't blame the connections for trying this. It's painfully obvious that turf horses run very well on this stuff and with how fragile these horses are, you have to take advantage of the opportunities as they present themselves instead of worrying about five months down the line.

It doesn't matter if the SA Derby will only be his fifth race or his 30th. What was the Arkansas Derby for Curlin? Seems he turned out ok. The Arkansas Derby was the 6th start for Smarty Jones. He did ok. How many starts did Seattle Slew have going into the TC?

Also, it's not like he's giving away a ton of seasoning to the others. How many starts has Colonel John had? El Gato Malo? The SA Derby will be the 6th for CJ and the 5th for EGM.
CJ and EGM have won GRADED stakes on this surface going a route of ground, this horse that we are discussing has won a ungraded turf mile race. COMPLETELY different
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 03-23-2008, 11:55 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,614
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
CJ and EGM have won GRADED stakes on this surface going a route of ground, this horse that we are discussing has won a ungraded turf mile race. COMPLETELY different
How will they find out if he can if they don't try simply because he hasn't yet?
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 03-23-2008, 11:58 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
How will they find out if he can if they don't try simply because he hasn't yet?
How about a nw2 going a mile on the synethic for starters?
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:36 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.