War Pass --DB ?

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

He hung late in the Derby.Ran huge in the Preakness.If he didn't have the one bad race at OAKLAWN,maybe he would have finished the Derby,but he got late.All the recent Derby winners have been horses who haven't had a bad race like this in the 2 months before the derby.I hope he runs.He will fry,and insure a nice pace.He pulls anyways.Even in the races against Pyro,he was giving up ground to Pyro in the stretch.He isn't bred for 10f.He doesn't relax enough to get 10f.This horse is for figure geeks.Not for people who can figure out who is gunna get 10f.This wasn't an o.k. 3rd.This is not some minor setback.A bad race like this is not the norm for a derby winner.His best chance would be in a wicked rain storm.Overlooking this race is knee-jerk (if you're talking about trying to win the Derby.)Nice to say it's a minor set back.It isn't.Not saying he can't be a nice stakes horse this year,but horses without March-April hick ups usually win the derby.

Isn't the larger point that BOTH tossing the race completely out, AND throwing the horse under the bus based on one start are both wrong approaches? We learned SOMETHING about War Pass based on his race Saturday that we should all use the next time he runs. At this point different people have different ideas about what that something was, but I think it would be wise to avoid any sort of extreme opinion one way or the other based on one race. I think that was the larger point Steve was trying to make in bringing up Afleet Alex's last place finish at Oaklawn.