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  #1  
Old 03-11-2008, 01:24 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
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Well, Travis, if I was to tell you why I think that is I would just come of as insulting.

I will say that I wish everybody would bet enough money on the opinions they post on the internet so that when they lose it hurts enough to try to figure out why they formed a poor opinion. That's one thing you can learn by wagering that you probably won't by simply spewing opinions with little or no financial involvement.
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  #2  
Old 03-11-2008, 02:10 PM
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ShadowRoll ShadowRoll is offline
Woodbine
 
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I have to confess that I've felt a subtle bias against War Pass. Maybe it's because "[p]edigree is more important than any handicapping factor other than current form."

Seriously, War Pass does not have the most impressive stamina-favoring ancestry (DP = 13-5-9-0-1 (28) DI = 4.09 CD = 1.04). But I guess the dosage thing has to be put into perspective:
http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/hor...jay&id=3275375

We've all seen precocious two-year olds who don't seem so special when their classmates catch up. On the other hand, I was the tallest kid in my kindergarten class and remained the tallest kid in my class right up to high school (if you don't count Alvin C., who stayed back three times and was the only kid in 8th grade who could legally drive).

I guess what I'm saying is that just because War Pass has had early success and has dominated his peers so far doesn't necessarily mean that he's due for a fall. The truth is that he's given no hints that he can't get the Derby distance. And until he does, he's got to stay near the top of the list. I remember people saying Smarty Jones had no breeding for stamina, either. Whether or not that was true, he still won.

But, I will be watching Tampa Bay very closely this weekend.
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  #3  
Old 03-11-2008, 02:47 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I will say that I wish everybody would bet enough money on the opinions they post on the internet so that when they lose it hurts enough to try to figure out why they formed a poor opinion.
This is an easy enough one to learn. And it's ongoing.

The one I have trouble with is when I actually form a CORRECT opinion and still lose (due to circumstances beyond my control).
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  #4  
Old 03-11-2008, 02:58 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man

The one I have trouble with is when I actually form a CORRECT opinion and still lose (due to circumstances beyond my control).
That's just horse racing. The better your opinion is the more tough beats you will take as the more often your horses will be actual contenders and thus distinctly affected by the vagueries of racing.
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  #5  
Old 03-11-2008, 04:29 PM
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Thoroughbred Fan Thoroughbred Fan is offline
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I agree that War Pass is a very talented horse. I just wish they would try to rate him before he gets hooked up on the lead of the Derby with the DWL sprinter that will go a 46 half. If he proves he can rate even a little, he could be the best.
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  #6  
Old 03-12-2008, 02:18 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Well, Travis, if I was to tell you why I think that is I would just come of as insulting.

I will say that I wish everybody would bet enough money on the opinions they post on the internet so that when they lose it hurts enough to try to figure out why they formed a poor opinion. That's one thing you can learn by wagering that you probably won't by simply spewing opinions with little or no financial involvement.
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