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  #1  
Old 02-27-2008, 04:07 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Take a good look at the pps of the 8th winner at Gulfstream.....then look at her odds and how easily she won.

Opened around 8, took a drop to 2-1 with very little money in the pool, drifted to 6-1, back to 5-1 as they went into the gate, and then 7-2!

BANG!
how much do you believe in odds tracking? i try not to get caught up in it but when i see a pattern like this (opening with a big bet on a horse i'd make 8 or 10-1), rising, then taking big money late it's usually a good sign, especially on a layoff or firster.
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  #2  
Old 02-27-2008, 04:09 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
how much do you believe in odds tracking? i try not to get caught up in it but when i see a pattern like this (opening with a big bet on a horse i'd make 8 or 10-1), rising, then taking big money late it's usually a good sign, especially on a layoff or firster.
Not a whole lot, but the truth is I was interested in this horse ( Hooves knows this ) so I was more attuned to it.

I think it is obviously more relevent in maiden races. You have to look at this horse's pps.
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  #3  
Old 02-27-2008, 04:18 PM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Not a whole lot, but the truth is I was interested in this horse ( Hooves knows this ) so I was more attuned to it.

I think it is obviously more relevent in maiden races. You have to look at this horse's pps.
that was hooves making er jump...lol..yes andy had said he liked em.. and good call andy......
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  #4  
Old 02-27-2008, 04:23 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
that was hooves making er jump...lol..yes andy had said he liked em.. and good call andy......
Thanks....but that's not why I started the thread ( I'm desperate....but not so desperate that I need credit for 7:2 shots ). I just think it's a good story. I really hope people can see this horse's pps.

For those that can't....here's a synopsis....

Debuted in a MSW at Aqueduct in late November and lost by 43 lengths at 63:1. Went to Gulfstream and raced in a $40K maiden claimer at 1 1/16th on the grass, dueled for the lead briefly, and finished last beaten 21 1/2 at 45:1. Cut back to 5F on the dirt today, dropped to the basement, and BOOM!
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