Tampa Wednesday 02-20-08

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by docicu3

Race 8 – Several AE on the sidelines that will change this ticket if they draw in


) 6 Indy's Ahyoka[/b] – Showed big improvement on turf last out but it may have been the distance more than the surface. Couldn't they find a better jock?

It's pretty Tiggerv hard to bail on a jock that won with her last out and has a $2.70 ROI with the trainer and a 15% win rate on turf.....

I am a little surprised that all three of you (Bigs and Elvis) want no part of the #7 "You Are Worthy" with Garcia aboard for Hyatt who has insane #'s at Tampa and Turf ....small sample but stick out nonetheless


KEY TRAINER DATA - Hyatt, Freddie

Category Starts.........................................Win %..ITM%.. ROI

Overall........................................... ... 166...17.5 47.0 2.85

At TAM............................................. 161.....18.0 47.8 2.90

With Garcia, Jesse Jimenez.....................26...19.2 61.5 4.02

Turf.......................................... .......41..19.5...48.8...3.28

Dirt to Turf...........................................19 26.3 57.9 4.28

First time Turf.....................................12 33.3 58.3 7.58

First time Route..................................10 40.0 60.0 11.30

Doc - I like both of the firsters in here, but I like the 2 AE's better - if they don't draw in, I'm going to add the 1 and possibly the 7.
Like Tiggerv mentioned, pedigree. Forbidden Apple on top of Homebuilder doesn't scream turf nor two turns. Freddie's turf stats, while impressive, negate the fact that JJ is struggling in the saddle so far and is going to have his hands full against more talented, experienced horses here.
All that said, he probably win and now I need to find a way to include