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#1
01-16-2008, 04:15 AM
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1/16: AQU (C/O-4th/9th)
Offset losses of disasterous Saturday at Fair Grounds with strong Sunday at Santa Anita keyed by $39.40 Heathersdaddysbaby ('Best Value') and resultant $311.50 tri in the 7th.. Aqueduct and Santa Anita have back-to-back Carryovers of $60k+ and $90k+ respectively Wednesday and Thursday, with the Big A sextet looking especially approachable..
AQUEDUCT POST SCRATCHES/CHANGES 4th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P6, P3) Best Value: #3 Keuka Maid 5-1: Consistant Morrison mare not hopeless.. 3rd Most Likely: #4 La Mure 7-2: LRL invader from King right alternative.. WON Next Best: #7 Vilify 3-1: 3rd off break; Stumbled 2 back; Contender.. 8th Exotics Add: #6 Reyana's Jet 9-2: Has found ALW waters too deep.. 2nd-DQ'd from 1st $1 Exacta (4-6) $23.90 $1 Trifecta (4-6-3) Paid $95.00 5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3yo, 6f (P3, G/S) 2 horse race with obvious opportunity to single Asmussen Forestry filly (#2 Jet Setting) that aced debut and had tardy start to last behind good looking Dance Gal Dance. May have picked up rating lesson there, and retains hot Elliott in logical next step. Imposing; #7 I Promise crushed MDN juvy foes at BEL in June before extending Subtle Aly to limit Opening Day at Spa in the Schylerville. Wheels came off in the Adirondack three weeks later and hasn't been seen since. Clear danger if ready.. Most Likely: #2 JET SETTING 9-5 2nd Next Best: #7 I Promise 2-1 WON Exotics Add: #1 Anlyn 4-1 5th 6th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3yo, 5.5f (P4, DD, .10 Super) Best Value: #6 Dadoway 6-1: Gelding moves inside, adds blinks; Note CC lands below.. 5th Most Likely: #3 Brookhaven's Money 4-1: Debuts; Best option v. dreadful set.. 6th Next Best: #4 Seamus Judge 4-1 4th Exotics Add: #2 Avagardo 5-1 WON 7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, .10 Super) No tougher level for me than these types where jump-ups seem to derail multi-race plays often... Best Value: #8 Keen Spirit 10-1: Cuts back; Leah cold but clicks off claims.. 2nd Most Likely: #1 Girl Show 4-1: DiPrima 5/15 '1st time trainer'; Back to best surface.. WON Next Best: #11 SCR Exotics Add: #7 Bourne First 3-1 3rd $1 Exacta (1-8) $15.30 $1 Trifecta (1-8-7) $35.50 8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-70y (DD) VERY tough OC/ALW.. Best Value: #4 SCR Sub: #3 No Reply 4-1 3rd Most Likely: #2 (POE) Hurrah 3-1: Beaten neck, nose & 2L last trio.. WON Next Best: #10 SCR Exotics Add: #7 Run With the Lark 5-1: Threat on return to best.. 2nd $1 Exacta (2-7) $18.30 $1 Trifecta (2-7-3) $46.00 9th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-70y (.10 Super) Best Value: #2 Stolen Greeting 6-1: Another 'first time' DiPrima.. 6th Most Likely: #3 Trading Star 8-1: Violette returnee tough in spot if ready.. 5th Next Best: #9 Game Informer 5-1: Ongoing $700k flop now with Levine.. 10th Exotics Add: #4 Charlie Caliente 12-1: Not so crazy 2nd off break.. 4th <$150 P6 Play: 4: 3-4 5: 2 6: 3-6 7: 1-7-8 8: 2-3 9: 2-3-9 2x1x2x3x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144 $60 P4 Play: 6: 3-6 7: 1-7-8 8: 2-3 9: 2-3-4-7-9 2x3x2x5 = $60 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 01-17-2008 at 03:16 AM. 
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#2
01-16-2008, 06:46 AM
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A couple of things....
the 7th looks like a race that could be changed by scratches ( making it slightly less impossible ) and Game Informer in the last race is a new gelding for whatever it's worth.
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#3
01-16-2008, 10:18 AM
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P6 SCRATCHES...
6 1A Karakorum Topcat Early 7 9 Wakeup With Makeup Early 10 That's Our Prize Early 11 Undeniable Queen Early 12 Let Her Be Early 13 Suggestion Lisa Early 14 Devil's Last Dance Early 8 1A Santa's Gold Early 2B Irish Majesty Early 4 Executive Fleet Early 10 Temporary Saint Early 9 1 Galaxy Express Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
01-16-2008, 01:00 PM
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Inquiry... Had La Mure been able to finish at all, she might have a case for getting put up. We'll see.
PUT UP! I'll take it...!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
01-16-2008, 01:06 PM
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i had the 6 and feel like it was a good take down.. though painfull
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#6
01-16-2008, 01:22 PM
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Quote:
I agree. It was the right decision. It's one thing to make a judgement on a horse blowing by that wins by five or comes out very late, it's another thing entirely when a horse comes out and bumps another horse, in this case twice, when the other horse is looming outside, and then goes on to win by a couple lengths. If you don't take horses like the 4th winner down you are almost telling the jockeys they can commit fouls and take their chances they sufficiently intimidate their challengers. The 6 was almost certainly going to win, and would have been a deserving winner, but that was a foul. We've all been taken down in much more marginal situations.
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#7
01-16-2008, 01:26 PM
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didnt he get the 4 with the whip also.......and yes it hurts but fair is fair..
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#8
01-16-2008, 01:27 PM
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aque r 6
2 ex 7,2
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#9
01-16-2008, 01:28 PM
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r5^^
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#10
01-16-2008, 01:34 PM
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Quote:
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#11
01-16-2008, 01:41 PM
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steveo you keep getting burned by the assman on your singles..
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#12
01-16-2008, 01:53 PM
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Quote:
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#13
01-16-2008, 01:56 PM
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Quote:
 As suggested in the race note, that was an 'either or/both' proposition, and it was more likely that the Contessa filly would be less ready than she was. I Promise needed to be on any expanded play or the most basic backups, and I'm sure she was.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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