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Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
gomez thought he had more horse and didnt..you say this isnt fair ect why do you say it is not fair when front runners win/ the 8 in race 7 off the pace types win the 2 in race 9 and pressers win the 1 in race 1.. this surface is fair .. the aq inner last year was not fair ..but people adjusted to it....the best horse is a very broad statment..and therefore not exact in what we are talking about imo
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You can't adjust to it.The reason is because jocks all start riding different races than they normally would(on a fair track.)You can handicap horses on a fair track,but not on a speed biased track.You just guess,and try to cap for something,and the jocks try to ride against that something.Guys start taking horses to the lead unexpectedly,and you have to take short odds on speed horses that now may not get the easy lead they would of got.I know what your saying,but in practice,it's much easier to win on a fair track.I told you people that Churchill was messed up by a huge inside bias on Breeders cup day.Most of ya denied,denied.Street Sense was best that day.He likes Churchill.He won the Derby too.It still doesn't explain his acting like he got on a motorcycle that day on the rail.He never did that again.That margin of victory was caused by bias.So,don't f'n tell me there ain't bias.If I bring it up,it's not some excuse.It's information.It's really not as hard to detect as people make it seem.Really all you have to do is look how far back good raters are in sprints.The same rater will be varying distances behind the same exact horses.On a speed biased track that distance will be much larger than on a track like last Thursday.The same rater will be much closer on the turn than he would be on a speed biased track.It's simple observation. These tracks vary a lot,and it determines who wins...a lot.It is important...a whole lot.Jocks start doing weird stuff on biased tracks,and you can't cap people nearly as easily as horses.Do you remember the Cherokee horse that won with Flores up? That was about 2 weeks ago.Compare that race to his race on November 4th.He was the best horse on Nov. 4th,but because of track bias,he was very far back,and couldn't quite get up.Given the fair track 2 weeks ago,he is able to be much closer up on the turn,and the best horse wins instead of running 2nd or 3rd.There were 3 horses hurt most today by bias.Given a fair track,2 of them will win,and the 3rd can win.They are the Royals Court,FOXY SOX,and The Rye Man.So,lets let them show you people the difference between a fair track and a biased one.
01-14-2008, 06:28 PM
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