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  #1  
Old 12-28-2007, 08:30 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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I'm liking Buffalo Man at 10-1 in the PAx. Moves to the surface he's bred for, draws the world's best rider, and figures to get a nice stalking trip.
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  #2  
Old 12-28-2007, 08:32 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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So apparently nobody is interested in watching the replay of Doc Cheney's last race. Too bad.
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  #3  
Old 12-28-2007, 08:39 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
So apparently nobody is interested in watching the replay of Doc Cheney's last race. Too bad.
I looked at the replay. OUtside of finishing poorly, what did you find wrong with the ride?
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  #4  
Old 12-28-2007, 08:51 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Don Cheney was nice and wide on both turns last time, also seemed to be pushed up on the backside rather quickly, given the hot pace it probably took a lot out of him.

looking back at his previous performances, he has a pretty strong finish but needs to run longer before being asked.
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  #5  
Old 12-28-2007, 08:58 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
I looked at the replay. OUtside of finishing poorly, what did you find wrong with the ride?

You're kidding me....right? That was a totally pathetic ride ( I think ArlJim pointed it out fairly well ). He was wide on both turns, after being shuffled back at the start, and was absurdly rushed on the backstretch. It's amazing the horse finished as well as he did considering.

However, I don't agree with Phil that it was a biased track that day. I thought it was fairly even.
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  #6  
Old 12-28-2007, 09:26 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
You're kidding me....right? That was a totally pathetic ride ( I think ArlJim pointed it out fairly well ). He was wide on both turns, after being shuffled back at the start, and was absurdly rushed on the backstretch. It's amazing the horse finished as well as he did considering.

However, I don't agree with Phil that it was a biased track that day. I thought it was fairly even.
Alright. I went back and took a closer look.

I can't get too excited about this horse going 3 wide on the turns, however

I noticed a few things as, this time, I looked at the headon

1) the 5 hits him out of the gate and costs him position

2) he's the only horse making up ground from the start to the 2nd qtr

but this horse is never asked to run until the 2nd turn; he's being loose reigned on the 1st turn, running on his own. he's compromised by the trouble at the start but he's never 'absurdly rushed'.

clearly, however, he ran more than the others, making, essentially, 2 moves in the race, and, I suppose, an argument could be made that he threatens the winner with a better trip.
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Old 12-28-2007, 09:32 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Fair enough. We disagree slightly....which is good.

I guess the trainer agrees more with you as he's riding the incompetent back. Did you, by any chance, catch Ortiz's performance in the 7th race today?
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  #8  
Old 12-28-2007, 09:40 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Fair enough. We disagree slightly....which is good.

I guess the trainer agrees more with you as he's riding the incompetent back. Did you, by any chance, catch Ortiz's performance in the 7th race today?
Ahhh, Precious Too.

While I look at that race, you might want to take a quick look at Tyler Baze's ride on America's Friend in today's 2nd at SA. I don't think it's possible to get into any more trouble with a horse.

Edited.

I can't fault Ortiz for this one. I don't think there's any jock that's been able to get Precious Too to run straight or relaxed for an entire race (maybe Kent, her 2nd time out, I believe, on the turf at SAR). She's always tempting but always finds a way to screw it up.
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  #9  
Old 12-28-2007, 08:48 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
So apparently nobody is interested in watching the replay of Doc Cheney's last race. Too bad.
I saw the race, because it was that big carryover so it was the last time I paid any attention to Aqu- this is the kind of horse that you bet back on the inner. Ran credibly despite being shuffled back and hung wide both turns on a definitively rail biased racetrack. While it's technically a move up in class the horse that won that race would likely be favored against this field. He's certainly better than his 12-1 odds and with the post he definitely can make the lead and the rail- the horse inside him should offer little resistance for that. I like the play.
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