12/8: HOL (G1) Turf Cup; (G3) Native Diver

[miraja2]

Damn! I absolutely loved Racketeer at 8/1 in this spot. I bet him to win and used him in exacta boxes with several others.....but not the 9.
After going back and looking at the past performances, it isn't like the 9 horse came out of nowhere. Every time he has been on synthetic he has posted numbers similiar to these, and his one trip over this track was a very solid effort (95 beyer) going 8.5 furlongs. I have no idea why I tossed him....especially considering he was 30/1.
If I look back at the past perfomances and see that the horse that beat me really came out of nowhere....fine. But when I look back and see that I missed out on a big payoff ($1 exacta paid $231.30) because I simply did a sloppy job of handicapping, it really pisses me off.
Damn!

[Bobby Fischer]

Initially I loved the form for Heatseeker - he was stretching out after running evenly in a classy 6.5 downhill... had back form on the cushion track, and stretching out with the right pedigree - However , watching the replay of the Morvich, Heatseaker was turning his head badly at the end, and that turned me off. One of the rare times that studying the video will negate a nice job of reading the form.

This was a tough race to handicap and wager.

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer

Initially I loved the form for Heatseeker - he was stretching out after running evenly in a classy 6.5 downhill... had back form on the cushion track, and stretching out with the right pedigree - However , watching the replay of the Morvich, Heatseaker was turning his head badly at the end, and that turned me off. One of the rare times that studying the video will negate a nice job of reading the form.

This was a tough race to handicap and wager.

At least you have a reason for tossing him. I honestly don't know what the hell I was looking at when I crossed him off.
It was a tough race, but for someone to go deep in that race (like I did) and not use that horse is just bad handicapping. Hollendorfer's numbers off a layoff, going turf to synthetic, and going sprint to route are all tremendous. The horse goes 46&4 for 4 furlongs (2/47) over this track on Wednesday, is very cometitive from a speed figure standpoint, and they send him off at 30/1....and I miss it.
I thought Racketeer would run a good race today at 8/1, and he did. But I managed to screw myself out of a big exacta score by not doing a thorough enough job of handicapping.
Sorry to go on and on about this stupid race....but I'm really pissed at myself.

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Originally Posted by miraja2

At least you have a reason for tossing him. I honestly don't know what the hell I was looking at when I crossed him off.
It was a tough race, but for someone to go deep in that race (like I did) and not use that horse is just bad handicapping. Hollendorfer's numbers off a layoff, going turf to synthetic, and going sprint to route are all tremendous. The horse goes 46&4 for 4 furlongs (2/47) over this track on Wednesday, is very cometitive from a speed figure standpoint, and they send him off at 30/1....and I miss it.
I thought Racketeer would run a good race today at 8/1, and he did. But I managed to screw myself out of a big exacta score by not doing a thorough enough job of handicapping.
Sorry to go on and on about this stupid race....but I'm really pissed at myself.

I thought the best he could do is run 2nd.Played a Racketeer/Heatseeker exacta.That's all I played.The Oneill took me down the race before.I didn't think the winner of the 8th or 9th had good enough figs to win,but they flew home.