12/5: Hollywood C/O Contest Thread

[Scav]

Originally Posted by MaTH716

Race 4 - Claiming 10k 3+ - 5.5 furlongs
Most of these cheap claimers in California are a pain in the ass to handicap and this one is no different. Just so hard to have a solid opinion on so many inconsistent horses. #12 Call or Raise is the most consistent horse TG-wise but the drop from 25k to 10k is VERY suspcious to me, especially for a trainer like Mitchell who usually is rising them in class and the horse ran well last time at the 25k level, so why drop? If Nakatini was off him, I would be tossing him, but since he is still on I have to use him. Both #8 Dark Past and #9 Hemet will be running off a last race top but with different circumstances. Dark Past recently improved 4 pts while dropping back into state breds and now is back in open company. Should be the speed of the race, in a race with lots of it (#2,#4,#6). Montelone, the trainer of #9 Hemet, is a tricky trainer. He scores with Espinoza at 31%, is 22% off the layoff and the horse has a long string of decent works. I do like that he will be stalking. #7 Alpine Sport is another that will be stalking and has past number power. Gets a 41 day break, blinkers added, two good recent works and Wallace has been 22% the last 90 days.


Those are the exact words that I wrote on my form. I am taking a stand against.

You just never know with Mitchell though and there isn't much in this race. I wouldn't be surprised to see him scratch tomorrow