Poly to Slop

[JJP]

Originally Posted by MaTH716

I just do not know what to do with these poly horses. Some of these 2 year olds have never ran on a conventional dirt track. How are they going to react when they get hit in the face with the muddy kickback for the first time in thier careers? Then take a horse like Lewis Michael, his last 5 starts have been on Poly, even the works are on the stuff. Will he make the transition? Same thing for a bad performance on poly, is the race just a toss? Is anyone else having trouble with this issue and how are you handicapping with it?

Lewis Michael is a tossout, IMO. He looks like he's better on Poly; I don't need to find too many reasons to bet against a Calabrese runner; his horses are always very heavily bet; sometimes warranted but many times not.