BC: Distaff (PP's/Odds)

[Mike]

Hystericalady has a spectacular natural dirt history. The wetness won't be a problem(sire Distorted Humor, 1-1 wet record) . I'll go with her despite the post

[jms62]

Past Performance trumps Pedigree.... Here is why she won't win.

1. Poor Post position
2. Not even close to the Pace in this race. Her big win MP 48/111 not even close.
3. Her 1 1/8 race not a jaw dropper pace-wise
4. Never showed the ability to close down the stretch for a win except her 5f race at Pln

[jms62]

I'm glad I made you laugh... You can project past sprints to routes all day long, I'll take route lines when they are available. The fastest pace she stalked was 47 and change in a route and we see how that turned out. Never mind the death sentence post position.. Nor the lack of a win at 1 1/8 The pace of this race will be sub 46 and I don't see HL hanging with that for the W. But good luck with that and your other plays that day.