Final Verdict ... Fog Is A Fraud

[Phalaris1913]

Why would LITF run from far off the pace? He has blazing speed.

The problem with LITF is that he isn't all that blazing fast. He has encountered 21-and-change opening quarters against open company twice and lost both times. If you're a sprinter who can't handle 21-and-change opening quarters in against horses who can, you'd best be able to make up some ground. Thus far, LITF's losses coincide with occasions in which he has gotten outrun from the gate; he has yet to win a race when he had more than one horse in front of him early.

I don't understand the big disconnect with this horse. He never even saw anything resembling high-caliber sprinters until BC day. That he was able to waltz - usually in 22/44-45 - against patsies all year was somehow assumed to be fully transferable to real sprinting and it simply wasn't. He is 1 for 4 against half-decent open-company sprinters - the 1 coming on the occasion when he was able to get a 45-second half - and that looks to me like the true bill.