8/11: Arlington (Million Day) Byk Style

[Spiggle24]

Arl Million;I may be way off base but I'm singling the 8 Danak.The reason is weight.No other horse in this field has EVER won a race carrying 126lbs @ any distance but the 8 has won carrying131,128(going 9 panels easily),127,129,135, and when he did carry 126 he lost to a much better group.I welcome feedback on my theory.I've only been at this a short time but it's what jumped out at me.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Spiggle24

Arl Million;I may be way off base but I'm singling the 8 Danak.The reason is weight.No other horse in this field has EVER won a race carrying 126lbs @ any distance but the 8 has won carrying131,128(going 9 panels easily),127,129,135, and when he did carry 126 he lost to a much better group.I welcome feedback on my theory.I've only been at this a short time but it's what jumped out at me.

Danak is a decent choice, but I wouldn't be singling him based strictly on weight. The Tin Man, Doctor Dino and Jambalaya consistently carry close to that weight. The horse that everyone should NOT be playing is After Market. Short rest getting 6lbs on a surface he will not like. I would be surprised to see him go off as the favored, probably 3rd choice. Dino or Danak will take money tomorrow.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Originally Posted by Scav

Danak is a decent choice, but I wouldn't be singling him based strictly on weight. The Tin Man, Doctor Dino and Jambalaya consistently carry close to that weight. The horse that everyone should NOT be playing is After Market. Short rest getting 6lbs on a surface he will not like. I would be surprised to see him go off as the favored, probably 3rd choice. Dino or Danak will take money tomorrow.

aftermarket is a bill mott hartburn horse just like miesq..he is solid and will give great performance.......do not toss

[Scav]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

aftermarket is a bill mott hartburn horse just like miesq..he is solid and will give great performance.......do not toss

As much as I respect you as a handicapper, not listening on this one my friend. I do not have a strong opinion on the race, but I do have a strong opinion on that horse. He has been beating up on Rob Roy, Obrigado, Red Fort, Willow O Wisp, and Out of Control, and Lava Man off a Dubai layoff. I am not too impressed. I'll let him prove me wrong at 5/2 or 3/1. It might be Euro day tomorrow on the lawn, except for Honey Ryder

[golfer]

Here's my take on Million Day:

Race 1:
#6 Ripe Tomato
#2Conner's Brittany
#3 Nonsuch Kiss

Race 2:
#7 Four Boy Sham
#1 Clerpark
#2 Okie Dozer

Race 3:
#10 American Hustler
#4 Recapture the Glory
#2 Boss Lafitte

Race 4:
#9 Neosho Red
#1 Jump'ien
#8 Brazen Zip

Race 5:
#1 Fort Prado
#5 Tiganello
#4 Load a Chronic
#7 Galantas

Race 6:
#2 Lovango
#1 Who Let the Cat In
#5 Morada Key
#8 Galloping Home

Race 7:
#2 Admiralofthefleet
#9 Pleasant Strike
#4 Lattice

Race 8:
#6 Honey Ryder
#3 Irridescense
#2 Lahudood
#4 Lady of Venice
#7 Royal Highness

Race 9:
#7 Stream Cat
#1 Jambalaya
#2 Sunriver
#8 Danak

Race 10:
#3 Silver Breeze
#1 Strikes of Thunder
#5 Elegant Warrior
#10 Honey's Humor

Race 11:
#8 Tax Refund
#3 Hot Storm
#5 Salt Syn
#2 Pretty Jenny

Race 12:
#4 Lava on the Run
#5 Riccochet Andy
#3 Chief What
#1 Toughluck
#9 Y Chance It

[Spiggle24]

Originally Posted by Scav

As much as I respect you as a handicapper, not listening on this one my friend. I do not have a strong opinion on the race, but I do have a strong opinion on that horse. He has been beating up on Rob Roy, Obrigado, Red Fort, Willow O Wisp, and Out of Control, and Lava Man off a Dubai layoff. I am not too impressed. I'll let him prove me wrong at 5/2 or 3/1. It might be Euro day tomorrow on the lawn, except for Honey Ryder

I think he's a bit overated as well, his most celebrated victory over Lava Man he was carrying 8-10lbs less than Lava Man in the Whittingham.

[dpkovalesky]

looks like its true "after market scratched from Arlington million"

according to arlingtonpark.com

[peetsa]

Pick 3

Race 7 ADMIRALOFTHEFLEET (50wp)
Shamindin

Race 8 IRRIDESCENCE (100wp)
Lady Of Venice

Race 9 Doctor Dino
After Market
Pressing
Stream Cat
DANAK (50wp)

$20

Looks like the Euros have another field day at Arlington. Irridescence the best play of the day. Michael de Kock, in my opinion the best trainer in the world, isn't bringing him in to lose, but why isn't Marwing riding him? Only negative i have on him.

Woodbine race #3 Longshot play of the day #1 When In Rome 8/1 ml.

GL ALL

[Mike]

Congrats to Lava(and me) on Spotsgone!!!

[XIIPointStables]

Scav nice call on the Million. Hope you nailed it man.

[brianwspencer]

At work and don't have a form in front of me, but stumbled on this today and thought it a bit crazy that it looks like a maiden race from Arlington's Million card produced two graded stakes winners on the same weekend with Boss Lafitte and Recapturetheglory.

Bet that doesn't happen too often.

[Scav]

not at arlington...Didn't Boss Laffite win that race, I can't remember, either that or he got a closing 3rd