My Belmont Analysis

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by justindew

I love how my posts always seem to turn into a debate between two other posters, often having nothing to do with my original post.

Do I get extra points for that?

If you did you would have lost double for the final remark.

[justindew]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

If you did you would have lost double for the final remark.

Dagger!

[blackthroatedwind]

I think you do a good job with your articles.

[Mortimer]

I think you do a good job with your articles.
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Crinkle




Trash can

[The Indomitable DrugS]

I'd hate to have to write more than two or three sentences about this race.

I'm using Curlin and R2R in multi-win exotics (twice as much to Curlin) and I will toss Hard Spun in on a ticket with mostly my singles in the surrounding races...just so he doesn't beat me out of anything if my top picks win all the surrounding races.

I will only bet the race if people get carried away, and really overbet each of the four least likely winners.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

I'd hate to have to write more than two or three sentences about this race.

I'm using Curlin and R2R in multi-win exotics (twice as much to Curlin) and I will toss Hard Spun in on a ticket with mostly my singles in the surrounding races...just so he doesn't beat me out of anything if my top picks win all the surrounding races.

I will only bet the race if people get carried away, and really overbet each of the four least likely winners.

I filmed a half hour show about it tonight.....and have to film another one tomorrow.

Actually, to be honest, it's a fairly interesting race to talk about. Moreso, to me at least, than the Preakness. Unfortunately it all revolves around a 4:5 shot who will probably win.

[Travis Stone]

Curlin should win the race, and that's why he'll be such a short price. Part of me is concerned that he really only ran well the last 3/8's in the Preakness. Certainly he learned a lot, but now with 12 furlongs, that's a long time to goof around before getting serious, and by time he does, it might be over.

If Street Sense does not back-up in the Preakness and wins the race, but is still not in the Belmont, does Curlin go off at the same price Saturday? I think that's a legitimate question and angle if you want to try and reason to beat him.

[Antitrust32]

I kind of think that the fact Curlin has had three workouts since the preakness means he's rearing to go. Haskin reported he "bounced" off the van and bounced all the way to the barn yesterday. Just makes me key him on top of tri's even more. The only other horse I'll put on top in exotics is Rags.