HOL: Bigs/Scavs $30k Hits!

[Rootdog1]

Originally Posted by pmacdaddy

Know what Mr. Greely's 1st Turf % is?

11%, and honor grades is 7%.

I like that horse, they scratched it from yesterdays feature for this spot. Although, this is a tough race....I can see going at least 4 deep here.

[Scav]

TG's ARE DOWNLOADED. I have class tonight but guess who will be there in SPIRIT and BODY and not mind. Mind will be focused on PRINTED PP's and TG's for 3 hours, while a teacher is yapping away about management.

More to come possibly later tonight

[pmacdaddy]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

11%, and honor grades is 7%.

I like that horse, they scratched it from yesterdays feature for this spot. Although, this is a tough race....I can see going at least 4 deep here.

Thanks. Agree on that being a tough one. Currently thinkin I could go 2,3,4,8 in there.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

11%, and honor grades is 7%.

I like that horse, they scratched it from yesterdays feature for this spot. Although, this is a tough race....I can see going at least 4 deep here.

Root, this is a hell of a sequence. The TG's don't really point out MANY horses, I was hoping to find three that I could be confident in, and the only horse I like a little bit is Duty Roster in the 3rd. Deputy Commander's progeny run about equal on the dirt as they do on the turf, but the key angle here is the 2 pt improvement stretching out. Have no idea what I am doing yet....no idea

[Scav]

HIGHLY considering singling Casual Thunder in the first leg. As much as I want to get sucked into Taylor's Route and Our Partner, I just can't do it. 5 is a rat, 1 is coming back after 11 days and shipping.....8 is a little scary but the board will tell me everything I need to know about the 6, Casual Thunder is 8/5 or 7/5 unload because of 2nd time Canani....

[Scav]

3: 2,6,7,8
4: 3,5,6,9,10,11
5: 1,4,6,7,8
6: 1,4,5,8,9,10
7: 1,3,4,6
8: 2,3,5,9

Here is what I feel are the only horses that can actually win their respective races. Now before some of your angry internet people gets nuts, in NO WAY am I playing the above ticket. I plan on spending between $900 and $1400 on one ticket. Might not be the right way but whatever. The above is more for a chart, I think that you could toss any horses not mentioned.

The only horse I could potentially single is Robbo's Courage in the 5th but given Nakatini's recent struggles and this horse never trying the turf before, the balls have to be feeling mighty big at 4pm on Wednesday for that to get punched.

As much as I want to single Idiot Proof (and no not because of the name) with the turn back of a 1/2 furlong and it looks like he could go 44/3 and easily win, I worry about this horse getting tired on the cushion and the 1 or 6 cruising by. 1 is also getting 4lbs on equal TG's numbers, which would be good for about 1 length

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by Scav

HIGHLY considering singling Casual Thunder in the first leg. As much as I want to get sucked into Taylor's Route and Our Partner, I just can't do it. 5 is a rat, 1 is coming back after 11 days and shipping.....8 is a little scary but the board will tell me everything I need to know about the 6, Casual Thunder is 8/5 or 7/5 unload because of 2nd time Canani....

Casual Thunder = Hanger

[Scav]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Casual Thunder = Hanger

I know, I KNOW.....but, he is the fastest horse in the race that looks to be loaded with speed and 2nd time Canini.

The 2 is a REAL sneaky horse in that race. Race has speed, I hate the jock because I am going to be 5w going into the final turn but Lewis (trainer) has win %'s of 18% (dirt to turf) and 19% (1st time turf) and huge ROI's (3.65 and 4.70) respectively. That is out of 67 samples and 43 samples also. There is a couple jock changes I am praying for on Wednesday, that is one of them, along with Pick Vic in the 7th.

[Rootdog1]

Originally Posted by Scav

I know, I KNOW.....but, he is the fastest horse in the race that looks to be loaded with speed and 2nd time Canini.

The 2 is a REAL sneaky horse in that race. Race has speed, I hate the jock because I am going to be 5w going into the final turn but Lewis (trainer) has win %'s of 18% (dirt to turf) and 19% (1st time turf) and huge ROI's (3.65 and 4.70) respectively. That is out of 67 samples and 43 samples also. There is a couple jock changes I am praying for on Wednesday, that is one of them, along with Pick Vic in the 7th.

the 3rd is very tough. I do like Casual Thunder on figs and connections but hate that he is 8 yrs old with one win. Still have not decided, using 3 of these 4......Behind The Magic, Duty Roster, Our Partner, Casual Thunder. One thing for sure, the pace will be quick....so look for those that will crumble trying to keep up (not necessarily those that will be on the lead) and toss them.

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

the 3rd is very tough. I do like Casual Thunder on figs and connections but hate that he is 8 yrs old with one win. Still have not decided, using 3 of these 4......Behind The Magic, Duty Roster, Our Partner, Casual Thunder. One thing for sure, the pace will be quick....so look for those that will crumble trying to keep up (not necessarily those that will be on the lead) and toss them.

I am considering two tickets. one with CT singled and deepness around, and then two others that are skinnier in other legs....

I fully expect this thing to pay handsomely, given the sequence, no gimme's

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

the 3rd is very tough. I do like Casual Thunder on figs and connections but hate that he is 8 yrs old with one win. Still have not decided, using 3 of these 4......Behind The Magic, Duty Roster, Our Partner, Casual Thunder. One thing for sure, the pace will be quick....so look for those that will crumble trying to keep up (not necessarily those that will be on the lead) and toss them.

Don't get sucked into Magic, 11 days and wasn't that impressive. Duty Roster is one that I have talked about, and is awful intriging