Betting The Preakness

[pick4]

Do you guys really believe Hard Spun will be 7/2 or above when the gates open for the Preakness? I think those odds offer great value on a horse who ran fast early middle and late in the Derby.

Take a look at the charts of the Kentucky Derby. Hard Spun was 1st every call until the stretch. The rest were bringing up the rear for the first half except for Curlin who was 13th, after 4 furlongs. After 6 furlongs Street Sense was about to make his move but was 17th and Curlin and imawildandcrazygut was last. At the q/p Street Sense was 3rd and Curlin was 8th imawildandcrazyguy was 16th. In the stretch Hard Spun increased his lead on 18 other horses except for Street Sense.

If Street Sense encountered any traffic problems in the Derby Hard Spun would have won going away and he's an even money favorite to win the Preakness.

If Hard Spun can come back and run strong on Saturday I think he's the horse to beat. If he's 5/2 or over I think he's a strong win bet. If he regresses I think Street Sense will be the winner.