![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|
#21
|
||||
|
||||
|
I would prefer Battaglia not make Quay the third choice. I think that the public has a lot of doubts in him with the layoff. Nobiz is a popular horse coming off a win in the Wood.
Not 100% sure that the public would back Nobiz over Quay, but you would think he has a chance. It becomes a question of what the ML Odds are meant to do - should they reflect the public's likely natural opinion at post time? OR - are they supposed to be an accurate estimate of actual win probability? As a handicapper I would prefer that the morning line reflect the public, rather than be overly accurate. If possible err or exagerate on the side of public opinion! |