Arkansas Derby Field

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

To me, Any Given Saturday has a good running style for the Derby, in that he places himself in races and shouldn't be a victim of pace one way or another, plus he has run enough good races that I tend to discount his Wood as the best indication of his ability. I just think he is likely to be the best price of the few legitimate contenders in this race.

I agree w/ much of what you are saying but I dont agree there are few legitimate contenders. I dont think I can recall a derby w/ so many. I count maybe 8 or 9.

I would think that you would agree as your pet theory this year is that the field is so bad. Bad field = more contenders? Would think it would work like that in most scenarios. Great field = less contenders?

SO what ARE you saying? There are few legit contenders and these are so bad? Then why do the PPs seem to be so in line?