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  #1  
Old 04-17-2007, 09:20 AM
jpops757 jpops757 is offline
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Dominican would be the most drastic possobility. After a break to adjust his sexual preferance ,he has hit the track running and Miller has eased him into the derby picture. My concern is he a cushion track horse. Number 2 is Curlin. As good as he has performed it just looks like he is a lot of horse and he has room to improve based on his light careere. Tiago is another that I think could still show improvement. Did the light come on or will he revert back to an ordinary horse?
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Old 04-17-2007, 09:29 AM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Tiago and Zanjero seem most likely to me, both should like the extra furlong more than others may and both seem to be improving. I don't know that they are quite fast enough to win but I bet both put up new career high Beyers in the Derby.

Any Given Saturday seems the horse most likely to be able to move way up and run a 108-110 Beyer that should be enough to win the race. He could also be a total non-factor.
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  #3  
Old 04-17-2007, 09:33 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Tiago and Zanjero seem most likely to me, both should like the extra furlong more than others may and both seem to be improving. I don't know that they are quite fast enough to win but I bet both put up new career high Beyers in the Derby.

Any Given Saturday seems the horse most likely to be able to move way up and run a 108-110 Beyer that should be enough to win the race. He could also be a total non-factor.

While I don't particularly like Tiago for this race, it won't shock me if he runs OK, but Zanjero feels like a plug who just sort of sucked up in the Bluegrass where no real running was taking place. I will be very surprised if he is any real factor in the Derby. He just feels slow.
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  #4  
Old 04-17-2007, 09:38 AM
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ARyan ARyan is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
While I don't particularly like Tiago for this race, it won't shock me if he runs OK, but Zanjero feels like a plug who just sort of sucked up in the Bluegrass where no real running was taking place. I will be very surprised if he is any real factor in the Derby. He just feels slow.
One of the biggest reasons I like Tiago, is look at his Maiden race. The way he dug in, after being pushed and forced how wide!?! The way he continued to dig and fight to the wire impressed me. I don't think he will win, but he will hit the board.
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  #5  
Old 04-17-2007, 09:49 AM
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brockguy brockguy is offline
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I thought Tiago looked good winning last time out and was visually impressive, but wont everything have to fall just right for him to show, he'll have to avoid traffic probelms with his style of running!
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  #6  
Old 04-17-2007, 10:03 AM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brockguy
I thought Tiago looked good winning last time out and was visually impressive, but wont everything have to fall just right for him to show, he'll have to avoid traffic probelms with his style of running!
First race with the blinkers off and that really helped as he showed a willingness to weave through traffic that will be important in the Derby. People really shouldn't be fooled by him being Giacomo's brother. This horse is a lot faster. Heck, Mike Smith said that in an interview before the SA Derby when the horse still looked like a total nag. Not often that you see a Hall of Fame jockey tell you that a horse with a career high 84 Beyer is a lot faster than the horse he won the Kentucky Derby on.
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Old 04-17-2007, 10:08 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
First race with the blinkers off and that really helped as he showed a willingness to weave through traffic that will be important in the Derby. People really shouldn't be fooled by him being Giacomo's brother. This horse is a lot faster. Heck, Mike Smith said that in an interview before the SA Derby when the horse still looked like a total nag. Not often that you see a Hall of Fame jockey tell you that a horse with a career high 84 Beyer is a lot faster than the horse he won the Kentucky Derby on.

On a related note....if they gave jockeys Beyer figures, what do you suppose Mike Smith's would have been for the inner track meet......23?
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  #8  
Old 04-17-2007, 10:17 AM
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brockguy brockguy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
First race with the blinkers off and that really helped as he showed a willingness to weave through traffic that will be important in the Derby. People really shouldn't be fooled by him being Giacomo's brother. This horse is a lot faster. Heck, Mike Smith said that in an interview before the SA Derby when the horse still looked like a total nag. Not often that you see a Hall of Fame jockey tell you that a horse with a career high 84 Beyer is a lot faster than the horse he won the Kentucky Derby on.
grand, thanks for that. was over in the states that weekend, and Tiago looked the most impressive in the derby preps - he's also the name of one of my favourite footballers, so im hoping he does fine!
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  #9  
Old 04-17-2007, 12:41 PM
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10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
While I don't particularly like Tiago for this race, it won't shock me if he runs OK, but Zanjero feels like a plug who just sort of sucked up in the Bluegrass where no real running was taking place. I will be very surprised if he is any real factor in the Derby. He just feels slow.

Every race I look at Zanjero and expect improvement and it has not happened, I dont see why it should in a few weeks. I am through with him.
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