Circular Quay the 2007 Kentucky Derby winner

[jjf1031]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

I think that is already changing and will continue to do so as the trend to send frontrunning sprinters to the Derby if they can get the graded earnings continues. If it keeps up as it is I think it will become extremely difficult to win the Derby if you are within 3 lengths of the speed duel at first call. Even Barbaro was four lengths back at the first call.

Agreed. And with more and more horses wanting that prime "stalking" spot will that not set more derbies up for the off the pace type such as not only Unbridled but Monarchos and Giacomo as well. I dont personally like CQ but feel he will be a part of SUperfecta mix

[miraja2]

The key is that Ravel's defection from the trail does not affect my guarantee that Cowtown Cat will run 16th in the Derby, because I had already factored it in.
The more I look at it, the more sure I am. There is no possible way Cowtown Cat could finish any better or worse than 16th. It is a mortal lock.