Aqueduct Feb. 24th

[Holland Hacker]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Since criticisms are " welcome ".....how exactly does Freedom Ridge have any chance whatsoever in the 8th race?

She is breaking from the rail which has been an advantage of late, seems to me to have enough speed to hold her position on the rail and finsihed 2nd in a simialr race last out. I'm not saying she is a lock but I think she has a shot.

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

A couple of other thoughts....the 7th race is a very difficult one but you might want to consider that with the late scratch of Southern Prince that Fifty Frame is very much the speed of the race.

Great point, I had over looked 50 frame, but am skeptical as he faultered going 5 1/2 and finished behind other runners in the field.

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

In the 6th race I think it is very important to see what kind of race Jet Racer runs in the 5th race as the big favorite, Dream Runner, exits his previous race and the fig may be a tad high.

I agree. I'll watch the race and reconsider using # 7 Dream Runner - What do you think about Twaummy, or am I reaching there?

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Returnee Send Me a Sign is getting an enormous trainer change and returns off the layoff as a new gelding. Unfortunately, however, the horse must also overcome Mike Smith ( no easy task ).

You're correct Send Me a Sign did get a HUGE trainer switch, but does Shug usually have horses crnked up for their first start off of a layoff? I think he tends to be a bit more patient.

Thanks for the comments. Where else can you get insight from some of the bet cappers in the country.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Holland Hacker

She is breaking from the rail which has been an advantage of late, seems to me to have enough speed to hold her position on the rail and finsihed 2nd in a simialr race last out. I'm not saying she is a lock but I think she has a shot.



Great point, I had over looked 50 frame, but am skeptical as he faultered going 5 1/2 and finished behind other runners in the field.



I agree. I'll watch the race and reconsider using # 7 Dream Runner - What do you think about Twaummy, or am I reaching there?



You're correct Send Me a Sign did get a HUGE trainer switch, but does Shug usually have horses crnked up for their first start off of a layoff? I think he tends to be a bit more patient.

Thanks for the comments. Where else can you get insight from some of the bet cappers in the country.

Now that Jet Racer did at least what I expected and ran like garbage, clever 4:5 shot, I would dramatically downgrade Dream Runner. As for Twaummy, I suppose he has a chance as it is obviously a terrible field, but I am adament about Send Me a Sign. Hopefully Mike Smith will use his one less than horrific ride for a horse owned by his agent's wife.

IMO, Freedom Ridge has close to no chance whatsoever. The last race she ran in was an extremely oddly run race to say the least and her previous " win " was an even more oddly run race. That day all the riders decided to do whatever was necessary to try and get to the front and rail and a crazy pace ensued. The third finisher made a premature and wide move and the second finisher was completely blocked and blind switched in the stretch and with anything close to a clean trip would have won. Niether of those horses have run well at all, against significantly weaker, in subsequent performances. Now, I am well aware this is a terrible field but Freedom Ridge is probably the worst horse in the race by a reasonable margin. Other than Amber Note, I would not be surprised, however, if anybody else wins.

[MisterB]

Buz Tenny has this horse tight, should walk away with this one. Mike S. he better not fall off

[blackthroatedwind]

Mike Smith just chooses not to give any horse he rides any chance whatsoever. He is so scared that he drops everything completely away from trouble and is pretty much always out of contention. The only way this horse can win is if Smith gets hurt or retires because he will otherwise always ride him.

The guy should retire before he hurts himself or someone else. It's sad.

[MisterB]

Why doesn't he carry a white flag, and just wave them by. This horse has been working lights out, bullets everywhere.

[Holland Hacker]

Originally Posted by MisterB

Why doesn't he carry a white flag, and just wave them by. This horse has been working lights out, bullets everywhere.

Probably should be a bright ORANGE flag like they use on construction sites. After all it is "safer"!

Now I see the justification for the betting angle "Mike Smith Off!"

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Holland Hacker

Thanks BTW for pointing out that Fifty Frame was the clear speed.

You're very welcome.