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#1
02-23-2007, 06:17 AM
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2/23: Gulfstream ($125k Carry)
Wild doings at Hallandale Thursday as KMc puts over a 60-1 lawn firster sending the Gulfstream P6 pool into a 4th day and up to $125,000. Although the budget P6 play and $48 P4 fell short, a rather lucky $25 late P3 cover ticket helped make the day OK when English Channel combined with 15-1 and 8-1 late double winners for a $486 ($1) mutuel.
P6 Friday is equally tricky, but has an interesting harmony. Three dirt sprints (6f, 6.5f, 6f) and three 8.5f turf tests make up the sextet, making sense to use wider multiples in the grass races and narrow on the main. In the recent mile and sixteenth grass races at GP, note that outside posts did well: #12-#3-#8-#11 and #10-#12-#9-#6. Early-Presser types have been most effective, with deep closers snaring the bottom wrung(s) of the tri or super. On the main, be aware that speed is not holding nearly as well as it had for nearly a month... Pace-pressers and stalkers are swooping to the lead at various stages in the stretch and winning... GULFSTREAM PARK Supers in all.. DD's start R5-9.. P3's start R5-8.. 5th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T (P6) 1. #5 Western Halo 6-1: 11yo had best year at 10! Broom tabs Guid.. 6th 2. #12 Mellowes 3-1: White 9yo away year plus; there if ready.. 8th A. #8 Cat's On a Prowl 4-1: Ward-Ramsey thing goes first for tag.. WON B. #2 Burdakin 8-1: Returns to trip of last win; may be lost on board.. 10th LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #3 Wild Maple 10-1: Walder-Johnny V.. 5th 6th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f 1. #3 Prospect Way 5-2: Stalk and go player under Kent with eyewear off.. 3rd 2. #1 Dennis's Dream 6-1: Trims .5f from last voyage.. 2nd A. #4 Daiton's Destiny 5-1: In mix with top two last out.. 5th B. #10 Flashy n' Bold 3-1: Has fallen just short twice; goes to unknown pilot.. WON $2 Exacta (10-1) Paid $67.00 $1 Trifecta Box Paid $103.00 7th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (P4) 1. #3 BEAMING 5-2: Appears P6 single on cutback; goggles, JJ added.. 5th 2. #5 Six Pack Abs 6-1: Kenneally returnee working well.. 6th A. #2 Texas Billy Boy 10-1: Has found toughies every time out.. 2nd B. #9 Scottish Diamond 8-1: Gets blinks, Cruz.. 3rd 8th: ALW/N3X, 4+, 8.5f-T 1. #7 Yankee Master 6-1: With 'Baron' out, could get loose.. WON 2. #2 Wood Be Willing 5-1: Has dawdled last two; gets goggled, Pradoed.. 4th A. #9 Carnera 6-1: Darley disappointment should be tighter now after blah return.. 9th! B. #6 Salinja 3-1: With 'Baron' out, pace slows; comes Scavs' approved! 2nd LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #3 Murch 10-1: Originally on top, but defection of Baron Von Tap dims potential for closer's pace target.. 5th 9th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f VERY tricky read with field exiting odd variety of conditions last out or back off either big or bad efforts.. 1. #4 Don't Stop Dreamin 2-1: Could react to big effort, but must use.. WON 2. #2 Joan's Royal Dawn 5-1: Stalker-closer scored under Joe at $50.. 4th A. #1 Snow Way 10-1: Rogers' filly drops, goes T2D, route/sprint.. 3rd B. #8 Xupal 4-1: Always competitive; whacked gate v. stakes types last.. 2nd $1 EXA $9.70 $1 TRI $31.30 $1 SUPER $104.10 10th: CLM, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T 1. #2 Academic Queen 10-1: Note big jock switch and move to straight taggers.. 5th 2. #6 Rushin' Rahy 4-1: Milt Wolfson tabs JV; 2/1-1-0 last 2 grass tries.. 6th A. #8 Miss Bradford Co 7-2: ITM 50% this trip; comes running late.. 4th B. #7 Silver Charity 10-1: Don Dizney-bred grey looks interesting here.. 11th LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #9 Valentine Light 15-1: Owns back figs.. 9th Unbelievable finish to wild day at GP... 11 horses within 2.5 lengths of each other at the finish with these beaten margins: HD, NK, NO, NO, .5, 1.25, HD, HD, 1, NK... P6 hit for six figures... Hope you did OK... <$150 P6 Play: 5: 5-12 6: 1-3 7: 3 8: 2-3-6-7 9: 2-4 10: 2-6 2x2x1x4x2x2 = 64 x $2 = $128 <$50 P4 Play: 7: 3-5 8: 2-3-6-7 9: 2-4 10: 2-6-7 2x4x2x3 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 02-24-2007 at 05:28 AM. 
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#4
02-23-2007, 09:34 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
02-23-2007, 10:17 AM
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Changes
Gulfstream Park Changes
Friday Feb. 23,2007 Track-fast //turf-firm Rail On Hedge Sunny 80 "again" *****race*******horse ****** 2 Scr. #13 Fortunately Bold 2 Scr. #14 Coyote Trust 5 Scr. #11 Battle Chant 5 Scr. #13 Spikeavillian 5 Scr. #14 Willentz 5 Scr. #15 Mythical Conquest 6 Scr #13 Royal Star 6 Scr. #14 Sugiba 7 Scr. #4 Truthsayer 7 Scr #12 Eff Jaa Gee 8 Scr. # 1 Baron Von Tap 10 Scr. #13 Photo Image 10 Scr. #14 Exclusive Hopper
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#6
02-23-2007, 10:20 AM
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Thanks for posting these.
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#10
02-23-2007, 11:23 AM
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Nothing Tesher likes better than scratching. He is out of his mind to scratch from this spot for the Tampa race tomorrow, which not only has more speed, but is an utterly impossible spot for him. If he couldn't win his last he wasn't winning today but this was far and away the better spot.
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#11
02-23-2007, 11:27 AM
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Steve
Beaming may well win but he has a MAJOR caution sign on his back.
Look at the entire scenerio.....Jimmy Jerkens runs him for $60K in his debut, knowing full well he's a talented horse, as the horse is bet off the board, which means he knows the horse has a major hole in him. The horse runs a winning race, but gets a terrible trip, and gets claimed. He rightfully returns in a maiden special where he runs even more impressively, performing in a manner that probably wins 90% of those races, and yet is immediately back in for a tag. Yes, I understand full well if he wins this race, and gets claimed, the owner makes $25-30K, but this horse showed last out that he can easily win a maiden special, and perform well in conditional allowances, after which he can certainly win restricted claiming races. He could have really been an earner....yet they can't wait to get rid of him. Oh, he may well win today, but I say invest heavily on him at your own risk.
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#13
02-23-2007, 11:36 AM
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#14
02-23-2007, 11:37 AM
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Yes, but that problem makes him a terrible bet at his likely odds-on offering.
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#16
02-23-2007, 11:53 AM
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I thought rail out is closers and rail in is speed
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#17
02-23-2007, 11:56 AM
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I prefer to handicap and leave the hedge/rail concerns to those who are trying to " out-handicap " me.
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#18
02-23-2007, 12:05 PM
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#19
02-23-2007, 12:34 PM
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(Prize for whoever knows the film reference.)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#20
02-23-2007, 12:57 PM
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Linear Mode
