Any Given Saturday

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

You are comparing time from two different tracks on two different days. That's a pointless excersize.

I had projected AGS would get a 90 Beyer for his effort yesterday---It's very rare when I'm 5 points off.

Usually it's about 12?

[The Indomitable DrugS]

more like 30

[ArlJim78]

72 posts to disect a relatively uneventful running of the Sam F Davis.

Imagine when the real preps begin.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

To give a very brief and tremendously simple summary. There were three route races at Tampa yesterday.

Race #1: The 5/2 favorite won by 1.5 lenghts in 1:45.46 (he had run a 78 Beyer last time out)

Race #8: Autobahn Girl won by 3 lengths as the even money favorite in 1:38.39 for the About 1 mile distance. She ran an 85 Beyer and 89 Beyer in her last two starts.

Race #10: Any Given Saturday won by 2 3/4 lengths in 1:44.27.

Now, I'm not familar with projecting speed figures at Tampa Downs, so I just ignored race #8, because it was run at an oddball distance.

Races #1 and 10 were run at the same distance. Race 10 went exactly 12 points faster than Race #1. So, if you assume the winner of race #1 simply ran the exact same number he did last time out, as I did, that would mean Any Given Saturday would have run 12 points faster than his 78.

It's never easy to make these projections when you have only two route races to work with---but, perhaps Race #1's winner did improve 5 points. Any Given Saturday certainly went backwards off his last race---we've already discussed the many viable reasons why the 2nd place finisher to him could improve...and he certainly did.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

To give a very brief and tremendously tedious summary.

To steal a line from you....


....fixed that for ya.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

As simple as I could possibly make it my friend.....

[hockey2315]

From Drf:

"I thought it was a perfect first race back," said Pletcher.

"I didn't want this to be the peak race of his career, and I felt we accomplished everything we hoped for today. I wanted to get a good two-turn race under his belt and not start him back going a one-turn mile, which is one reason we brought him here.

"He hadn't run in a while, and any time you come to a new, deep, demanding surface you always worry if you'd done enough.

"I thought he ran a little green and pricked his ears waiting on horses after making the lead. Hopefully, he'll improve on that as we go along. The plan now is to bring him back here next month for the Tampa Bay Derby."

[blackthroatedwind]

There is really nothing less valuable than trainerspeak.